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A commentary on studies presenting projections of the future prevalence of dementia

Norton, Sam; Matthews, Fiona E.; Brayne, Carol

Authors

Sam Norton

Carol Brayne



Abstract

Background: Population ageing over the first half of this century is likely to lead to dramatic increases in the prevalence of dementia. This will affect all regions of the world, but particularly developing regions. Dementia projections have been used extensively to support policy. It is therefore important these projections are as accurate as possible. Discussion. In this paper we provide a commentary on studies projecting the future prevalence of dementia for the world or for individual continents. We identify some important limitations of the methods used in published projections and provide recommendations to improve the accuracy of future projections, and allow for the checking of the accuracy of the predictions. Summary. Accurate projections of dementia incidence, at both the global and local level, are essential for healthcare planners. © 2013 Norton et al.; licensee BioMed Central Ltd.

Citation

Norton, S., Matthews, F. E., & Brayne, C. (2013). A commentary on studies presenting projections of the future prevalence of dementia. BMC public health, 13(1), https://doi.org/10.1186/1471-2458-13-1

Journal Article Type Review
Publication Date Jan 4, 2013
Deposit Date Dec 8, 2023
Journal BMC Public Health
Print ISSN 1471-2458
Electronic ISSN 1471-2458
Publisher Springer Verlag
Volume 13
Issue 1
DOI https://doi.org/10.1186/1471-2458-13-1
Public URL https://hull-repository.worktribe.com/output/4454655