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Thresholds for estuarine compound flooding using a combined hydrodynamic--statistical modelling approach (2024)
Journal Article
Lyddon, C., Chien, N., Vasilopoulos, G., Ridgill, M., Moradian, S., Olbert, A., …Robins, P. (2024). Thresholds for estuarine compound flooding using a combined hydrodynamic--statistical modelling approach. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 24(3), 973--997. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-973-2024

Estuarine compound flooding can happen when extreme sea level and river discharges occur concurrently, or in close succession, inundating low-lying coastal regions. Such events are hard to predict and amplify the hazard. Recent UK storms, including S... Read More about Thresholds for estuarine compound flooding using a combined hydrodynamic--statistical modelling approach.

Learning histories, participatory methods and creative engagement for climate resilience (2023)
Journal Article
McDonagh, B., Brookes, E., Smith, K., Worthen, H., Coulthard, T., Hughes, G., …Chamberlain, J. (2023). Learning histories, participatory methods and creative engagement for climate resilience. Journal of Historical Geography, 82, 91-97. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhg.2023.09.002

The potential of place-based, historically-informed approaches to drive climate action has not yet been adequately interrogated. Recent scholarly work has focussed on climate communication and the role of arts and humanities-led storytelling in engag... Read More about Learning histories, participatory methods and creative engagement for climate resilience.

Historic Spatial Patterns of Storm-Driven Compound Events in UK Estuaries (2022)
Journal Article
Lyddon, C., Robins, P., Lewis, M., Barkwith, A., Vasilopoulos, G., Haigh, I., & Coulthard, T. (in press). Historic Spatial Patterns of Storm-Driven Compound Events in UK Estuaries. Estuaries and coasts : journal of the Estuarine Research Federation, https://doi.org/10.1007/s12237-022-01115-4

Compound estuarine flooding is driven by extreme sea-levels and river discharge occurring concurrently, or in close succession, and threatens low-lying coastal regions worldwide. We hypothesise that these drivers of flooding rarely occur independentl... Read More about Historic Spatial Patterns of Storm-Driven Compound Events in UK Estuaries.

Sensitivity of Estuaries to Compound Flooding (2021)
Journal Article
Harrison, L. M., Coulthard, T. J., Robins, P. E., & Lewis, M. J. (2022). Sensitivity of Estuaries to Compound Flooding. Estuaries and coasts : journal of the Estuarine Research Federation, 45, 1250–1269. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12237-021-00996-1

Fluvial and surge-tide extremes can occur synchronously resulting in compound flooding in estuaries, greatly intensifying the hazard. This flood risk has the potential to increase in the future as the frequency, phasing and/or intensity of these driv... Read More about Sensitivity of Estuaries to Compound Flooding.

The Coastline Evolution Model 2D (CEM2D) V1.1 (2021)
Journal Article
Leach, C., Coulthard, T., Barkwith, A., Parsons, D. R., & Manson, S. (2021). The Coastline Evolution Model 2D (CEM2D) V1.1. Geoscientific Model Development, 14, 5507-5523. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-14-5507-2021

Coasts are among the most intensely used environments on the planet, but they also present dynamic and unique hazards, including flooding and erosion. Sea level rise and changing wave climates will alter patterns of erosion and deposition, but some e... Read More about The Coastline Evolution Model 2D (CEM2D) V1.1.

The Kasei Valles, Mars: a unified record of episodic channel flows and ancient ocean levels (2020)
Journal Article
Duran, S., & Coulthard, T. J. (2020). The Kasei Valles, Mars: a unified record of episodic channel flows and ancient ocean levels. Scientific reports, 10(1), Article 18571. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-75080-y

There is widespread evidence across Mars of past flows in major channel systems as well as more than one palaeo ocean level. However, evidence for the timing of channel flows and ocean levels is based on geographically diverse sources with a limited... Read More about The Kasei Valles, Mars: a unified record of episodic channel flows and ancient ocean levels.

Modeling the geomorphic response to early river engineering works using CAESAR-Lisflood (2020)
Journal Article
Ramirez, J. A., Zischg, A. P., Schürmann, S., Zimmermann, M., Weingartner, R., Coulthard, T., & Keiler, M. (2020). Modeling the geomorphic response to early river engineering works using CAESAR-Lisflood. Anthropocene, 32, Article 100266. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ancene.2020.100266

Landscape Evolution Models (LEMs) simulate the movement of water and sediment over the landscape. Although much progress has been made in the development of LEMs, few have been tested in rivers subject to anthropogenic impacts that produce high energ... Read More about Modeling the geomorphic response to early river engineering works using CAESAR-Lisflood.

Landscape evolution of the Wenchuan earthquake-stricken area in response to future climate change (2020)
Journal Article
Li, C., Wang, M., Liu, K., & Coulthard, T. J. (2020). Landscape evolution of the Wenchuan earthquake-stricken area in response to future climate change. Journal of hydrology, 590, Article 125244. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2020.125244

The Wenchuan earthquake caused rapid and gradual changes to the local geomorphology in the earthquake-stricken area. Extreme rainfall events can have strong impacts on local geomorphic evolution and alter the risks of subsequent geohazards and floodi... Read More about Landscape evolution of the Wenchuan earthquake-stricken area in response to future climate change.

The impact of different rainfall products on landscape modelling simulations (2020)
Journal Article
Skinner, C. J., Peleg, N., Quinn, N., Coulthard, T. J., Molnar, P., & Freer, J. (in press). The impact of different rainfall products on landscape modelling simulations. Earth surface processes and landforms : the journal of the British Geomorphological Research Group, https://doi.org/10.1002/esp.4894

Rainfall products can contain significantly different spatiotemporal estimates, depending on their underlying data and final constructed resolution. Commonly used products, such as rain gauges, rain gauge networks, and weather radar, differ in their... Read More about The impact of different rainfall products on landscape modelling simulations.

Knickpoints in Martian channels indicate past ocean levels (2019)
Journal Article
Duran, S., Coulthard, T. J., & Baynes, E. R. (2019). Knickpoints in Martian channels indicate past ocean levels. Scientific reports, 9(1), Article 15153. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-019-51574-2

On Mars, the presence of extensive networks of sinuous valleys and large channels provides evidence for a wetter and warmer environment where liquid water was more abundant than it is at present. We undertook an analysis of all major channel systems... Read More about Knickpoints in Martian channels indicate past ocean levels.

Global sensitivity analysis of parameter uncertainty in landscape evolution models (2018)
Journal Article
Skinner, C. J., Coulthard, T. J., Schwanghart, W., Van De Wiel, M. J., & Hancock, G. (2018). Global sensitivity analysis of parameter uncertainty in landscape evolution models. Geoscientific Model Development, 11(12), 4873-4888. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-11-4873-2018

The evaluation and verification of landscape evolution models (LEMs) has long been limited by a lack of suitable observational data and statistical measures which can fully capture the complexity of landscape changes. This lack of data limits the use... Read More about Global sensitivity analysis of parameter uncertainty in landscape evolution models.

Modeling sediment movement and channel response to rainfall variability after a major earthquake (2018)
Journal Article
Xie, J., Wang, M., Liu, K., & Coulthard, T. J. (2018). Modeling sediment movement and channel response to rainfall variability after a major earthquake. Geomorphology, 320, 18-32. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geomorph.2018.07.022

© 2018 Elsevier B.V. The 2008 Wenchuan Ms 8.0 earthquake caused severe destruction in the mountainous areas of Sichuan Province, China. Landslips and mass movements led to substantial amounts of loose sediment accumulating in valleys that subsequentl... Read More about Modeling sediment movement and channel response to rainfall variability after a major earthquake.

Connectivity as an emergent property of geomorphic systems (2018)
Journal Article
Wohl, E., Brierley, G., Cadol, D., Coulthard, T. J., Covino, T., Fryirs, K. A., …Sklar, L. S. (2019). Connectivity as an emergent property of geomorphic systems. Earth surface processes and landforms : the journal of the British Geomorphological Research Group, 44(1), 4-26. https://doi.org/10.1002/esp.4434

Connectivity describes the efficiency of material transfer between geomorphic system components such as hillslopes and rivers or longitudinal segments within a river network. Representations of geomorphic systems as networks should recognize that the... Read More about Connectivity as an emergent property of geomorphic systems.

Improving estuary models by reducing uncertainties associated with river flows (2018)
Journal Article
Robins, P. E., Lewis, M. J., Freer, J., Cooper, D. M., Skinner, C. J., & Coulthard, T. J. (2018). Improving estuary models by reducing uncertainties associated with river flows. Estuarine, coastal and shelf science, 207, 63-73. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecss.2018.02.015

© 2018 The Authors To mitigate against future changes to estuaries such as water quality, catchment and estuary models can be coupled to simulate the transport of harmful pathogenic viruses, pollutants and nutrients from their terrestrial sources, th... Read More about Improving estuary models by reducing uncertainties associated with river flows.

The effect of sampling effort on estimates of methane ebullition from peat (2017)
Journal Article
Ramirez, J. A., Baird, A. J., & Coulthard, T. J. (2017). The effect of sampling effort on estimates of methane ebullition from peat. Water Resources Research, 53(5), 4158-4168. https://doi.org/10.1002/2017wr020428

© 2017. American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved. We investigated the effect of sample size and sampling duration on methane bubble flux (ebullition) estimates from peat using a computer model. A field scale (10 m), seasonal ( > 100 days) simu... Read More about The effect of sampling effort on estimates of methane ebullition from peat.

Two decades of numerical modelling to understand long term fluvial archives: advances and future perspectives (2016)
Journal Article
Veldkamp, A., Baartman, J. E. M., Coulthard, T. J., Maddy, D., Schoorl, J. M., Storms, J. E. A., …Whittaker, A. C. (2017). Two decades of numerical modelling to understand long term fluvial archives: advances and future perspectives. Quaternary science reviews, 166, 177-187. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2016.10.002

© 2016 Elsevier Ltd The development and application of numerical models to investigate fluvial sedimentary archives has increased during the last decades resulting in a sustained growth in the number of scientific publications with keywords, ‘fluvial... Read More about Two decades of numerical modelling to understand long term fluvial archives: advances and future perspectives.

Modelling long term basin scale sediment connectivity, driven by spatial land use changes (2016)
Journal Article
Coulthard, T. J., & Van De Wiel, M. J. (2017). Modelling long term basin scale sediment connectivity, driven by spatial land use changes. Geomorphology, 277, 265-281. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geomorph.2016.05.027

Changes in land use can affect local geomorphology and sediment dynamics. However, these impacts could conceivably lead to changes in geomorphological processes beyond the area of land use change, thereby evidencing a geomorphic connectivity in the l... Read More about Modelling long term basin scale sediment connectivity, driven by spatial land use changes.

Long-term landscape trajectory - Can we make predictions about landscape form and function for post-mining landforms? (2016)
Journal Article
Hancock, G., Lowry, J., & Coulthard, T. (2016). Long-term landscape trajectory - Can we make predictions about landscape form and function for post-mining landforms?. Geomorphology, 266, 121-132. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geomorph.2016.05.014

A significant issue for the application of numerical Landscape Evolution Models (LEMs) is their calibration/parameterisation and validation. LEMs are now at the stage of development where if calibrated, they can provide meaningful and useful results.... Read More about Long-term landscape trajectory - Can we make predictions about landscape form and function for post-mining landforms?.

Simulating the influences of groundwater on regional geomorphology using a distributed, dynamic, landscape evolution modelling platform (2015)
Journal Article
Barkwith, A., Hurst, M. D., Jackson, C. R., Wang, L., Ellis, M. A., & Coulthard, T. J. (2015). Simulating the influences of groundwater on regional geomorphology using a distributed, dynamic, landscape evolution modelling platform. Environmental modelling & software : with environment data news, 74, 1-20. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2015.09.001

A dynamic landscape evolution modelling platform (CLiDE) is presented that allows a variety of Earth system interactions to be explored under differing environmental forcing factors. Representation of distributed surface and subsurface hydrology with... Read More about Simulating the influences of groundwater on regional geomorphology using a distributed, dynamic, landscape evolution modelling platform.

Predicting uncertainty in sediment transport and landscape evolution - the influence of initial surface conditions (2015)
Journal Article
Hancock, G. R., Coulthard, T. J., & Lowry, J. B. C. (2016). Predicting uncertainty in sediment transport and landscape evolution - the influence of initial surface conditions. Computers & geosciences, 90(B), 117-130. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cageo.2015.08.014

© 2015. Numerical landscape evolution models were initially developed to examine natural catchment hydrology and geomorphology and have become a common tool to examine geomorphic behaviour over a range of time and space scales. These models all use a... Read More about Predicting uncertainty in sediment transport and landscape evolution - the influence of initial surface conditions.