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Human capital in the financial sector and corporate innovation: Evidence from China (2024)
Journal Article
Liu, G., He, F., Zhang, C., Akbar, S., & Li, Y. (2024). Human capital in the financial sector and corporate innovation: Evidence from China. The British accounting review, Article 101370. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.bar.2024.101370

This paper investigates how human capital in the financial sector affects corporate innovation. Based on China's National Economic Census in 2008, we construct a measure of the financial sector's human capital across prefecture-level cities and then... Read More about Human capital in the financial sector and corporate innovation: Evidence from China.

Recycling and/or reusing: when product innovation meets the recast of WEEE direct (2024)
Journal Article
He, J., Yan, W., Li, Y., & Lu, D. (in press). Recycling and/or reusing: when product innovation meets the recast of WEEE direct. International Journal of Production Research, https://doi.org/10.1080/00207543.2024.2317452

To deal with the growing amount of e-waste propelled by introduction of new products, increasing governments are considering amending take-back regulations to impose more stringent collection targets. Motivated by this trend, this study focuses on th... Read More about Recycling and/or reusing: when product innovation meets the recast of WEEE direct.

Climate Change Exposure and Bankruptcy Risk (2024)
Journal Article
Feng, F., Han, L., Jin, J., & Li, Y. (in press). Climate Change Exposure and Bankruptcy Risk. British Journal of Management, https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-8551.12792

This research documents that a firm's bankruptcy risk increases with its climate change exposure. This study further investigates the underlying mechanisms and finds that this effect is stronger for firms with lower operating cash flows or tighter fi... Read More about Climate Change Exposure and Bankruptcy Risk.

A decision making framework for joint replenishment and delivery scheduling problems under mixed uncertainty (2023)
Journal Article
Wang, G., Zhou, J., Pantelous, A. A., Liu, Y., & Li, Y. (2024). A decision making framework for joint replenishment and delivery scheduling problems under mixed uncertainty. Computers and Industrial Engineering, 187, Article 109835. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cie.2023.109835

Concerning the essence of risk, a joint replenishment and delivery scheduling problem with fuzzy cost-related parameters and random number of imperfect quality items is developed to make it suitable for the inherent uncertainties of procurement-shipm... Read More about A decision making framework for joint replenishment and delivery scheduling problems under mixed uncertainty.

A comparative and conceptual intellectual study of environmental topic in economic and finance (2023)
Journal Article
Yan, M., Li, Y., Pantelous, A. A., Vigne, S. A., & Zhang, D. (2024). A comparative and conceptual intellectual study of environmental topic in economic and finance. International review of financial analysis, 91, Article 103023. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2023.103023

We aim to provide a comprehensive overview of the past, present, and future development of environmental related topics in Economics and Finance. In this regard, Environmental Finance (EF)- and Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG)-related lite... Read More about A comparative and conceptual intellectual study of environmental topic in economic and finance.

CSR performance and firm idiosyncratic risk in a data-rich environment: The role of retail investor attention (2023)
Journal Article
He, F., Liu, G., Hao, J., & Li, Y. (2023). CSR performance and firm idiosyncratic risk in a data-rich environment: The role of retail investor attention. Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 89, Article 101877. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.intfin.2023.101877

In the Chinese stock market, there are many retail investors who focus on short-term profits and may consider corporate social responsibility (CSR) differently from institutional investors. We find that CSR significantly reduces firms’ idiosyncratic... Read More about CSR performance and firm idiosyncratic risk in a data-rich environment: The role of retail investor attention.

Do green bonds affect stock returns and corporate environmental performance? Evidence from China (2023)
Journal Article
Fan, R., Xiong, X., Li, Y., & Gao, Y. (2023). Do green bonds affect stock returns and corporate environmental performance? Evidence from China. Economics letters, 232, Article 111322. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2023.111322

We reveal the positive short-term stock market reaction to the announcement of green bond issuance, which does not exist for factual green bonds. For long-term performance, green bond issuance promotes corporate environmental information disclosure a... Read More about Do green bonds affect stock returns and corporate environmental performance? Evidence from China.

How does green credit policy affect polluting firms' dividend policy? The China experience (2023)
Journal Article
Li, Y., Liao, M., & Liu, Y. (2023). How does green credit policy affect polluting firms' dividend policy? The China experience. International review of financial analysis, 88, Article 102631. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2023.102631

We explore how polluting firms alter their dividend policy in response to pressure from green credit policy. The green credit guidelines that China adopted in 2012 aim to promote credit supply in sustainable development. Meanwhile, this green credit... Read More about How does green credit policy affect polluting firms' dividend policy? The China experience.

Future of jobs in China under the impact of artificial intelligence (2023)
Journal Article
Wang, C., Zheng, M., Bai, X., Li, Y., & Shen, W. (2023). Future of jobs in China under the impact of artificial intelligence. Finance research letters, Article 103798. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2023.103798

This study presents a new task-based quantification method for constructing Chinese occupational dataset based on the features of US jobs. Furthermore, we estimate the impact of artificial intelligence (AI) on jobs in China by determining substitutio... Read More about Future of jobs in China under the impact of artificial intelligence.

The smog that hovers: Air pollution and asset prices (2023)
Journal Article
Guo, L., Han, X., & Li, Y. (2023). The smog that hovers: Air pollution and asset prices. Finance research letters, Article 103633. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2023.103633

Air pollution affects mental well-being (mood) and amplifies behavioral biases. We test the adverse impact of air pollution on asset prices through the lens of dual-listed stocks. Using regression analysis and difference-in-differences tests, we docu... Read More about The smog that hovers: Air pollution and asset prices.

The Asymmetric Overnight Return Anomaly in the Chinese Stock Market (2022)
Journal Article
An, Y., Huang, L., & Li, Y. (2022). The Asymmetric Overnight Return Anomaly in the Chinese Stock Market. Journal of Risk and Financial Management, 15(11), Article 534. https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm15110534

Traditional asset pricing theory suggests that to compensate for the uncertainty that investors bear, risky assets should generate considerably higher rates of return than the risk-free rate. However, the overnight return anomaly in the Chinese stock... Read More about The Asymmetric Overnight Return Anomaly in the Chinese Stock Market.

Competition or Authorization—Manufacturers’ Choice of Remanufacturing Strategies (2022)
Journal Article
Wu, Y., & Li, Y. (2022). Competition or Authorization—Manufacturers’ Choice of Remanufacturing Strategies. Sustainability, 14(19), Article 12632. https://doi.org/10.3390/su141912632

In the face of the cannibalization of remanufactured products produced by independent remanufacturers (IRs), original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) can produce remanufactured products themselves to compete with independent remanufacturers (IRs), or... Read More about Competition or Authorization—Manufacturers’ Choice of Remanufacturing Strategies.

Momentum and the Cross-section of Stock Volatility (2022)
Journal Article
Fan, M., Kearney, F., Li, Y., & Liu, J. (2022). Momentum and the Cross-section of Stock Volatility. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 144, Article 104524. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jedc.2022.104524

Recent literature shows that momentum strategies exhibit significant downside risks over certain periods, called “momentum crashes”. We find that high uncertainty of momentum strategy returns is sourced from the cross-sectional volatility of individu... Read More about Momentum and the Cross-section of Stock Volatility.

Why do small businesses have difficulty in accessing bank financing? (2022)
Journal Article
Harrison, R., Li, Y., Vigne, S. A., & Wu, Y. (2022). Why do small businesses have difficulty in accessing bank financing?. International review of financial analysis, 84, Article 102352. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2022.102352

This study investigates bank financing to small and medium-size enterprises (SMEs) and evaluates whether the difficulties of SMEs in accessing bank financing during a period of financial crisis are due to a reduction in the supply of credit, or to a... Read More about Why do small businesses have difficulty in accessing bank financing?.

Aggregate Investor Attention and Bitcoin Return: The Long Short-term Memory Networks Perspective (2022)
Journal Article
Wang, C., Shen, D., & Li, Y. (2022). Aggregate Investor Attention and Bitcoin Return: The Long Short-term Memory Networks Perspective. Finance research letters, 49, Article 103143. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2022.103143

Investor attention is a scarce cognitive resource which affects investment decisions, and recent studies suggest that investor attention also have impacts on asset prices. Although Bitcoin is found to be one of the most unpredictable cryptocurrencies... Read More about Aggregate Investor Attention and Bitcoin Return: The Long Short-term Memory Networks Perspective.

A reexamination of factor momentum: How strong is it? (2022)
Journal Article
Fan, M., Li, Y., Liao, M., & Liu, J. (2022). A reexamination of factor momentum: How strong is it?. Financial Review, 57(3), 585-615. https://doi.org/10.1111/fire.12300

Recent studies show that most financial market anomalies exhibit a momentum effect. Based on two datasets, (i) an original 22-factor sample and (ii) a more comprehensive 187-factor sample, we find that factor momentum effect is weak at the individual... Read More about A reexamination of factor momentum: How strong is it?.

How state ownership affects corporate R&D: An inverted‐U‐shaped relationship (2021)
Journal Article
Fu, T., Jian, Z., & Li, Y. (in press). How state ownership affects corporate R&D: An inverted‐U‐shaped relationship. International journal of finance & economics : IJFE, https://doi.org/10.1002/ijfe.2589

The existing literature provides mixed evidence about the effect of state ownership on corporate research and development (R&D). As this article hypothesizes, state ownership has a positive institutional effect on the investment environment for R&D a... Read More about How state ownership affects corporate R&D: An inverted‐U‐shaped relationship.

What Can Explain Momentum? Evidence from Decomposition (2021)
Journal Article
Guo, J., Li, P., & Li, Y. (2022). What Can Explain Momentum? Evidence from Decomposition. Management Science, 68(8), 6184-6218. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2021.4135

This study comprehensively evaluates and ranks a large number of competing explanations for the momentum anomaly. As a benchmark for evaluation, firm fundamentals are found to be the most promising among well-known explanations of momentum, followed... Read More about What Can Explain Momentum? Evidence from Decomposition.

Short-run disequilibrium adjustment and long-run equilibrium in the international stock markets: A network-based approach (2021)
Journal Article
Chen, Y., Li, Y., Pantelous, A. A., & Stanley, H. E. (2022). Short-run disequilibrium adjustment and long-run equilibrium in the international stock markets: A network-based approach. International review of financial analysis, 79, Article 102002. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2021.102002

In this paper, we propose a network-based analytical framework that exploits cointegration and the error correction model to systematically investigate the directions and intensities in terms of the short-run disequilibrium adjustment towards long-ru... Read More about Short-run disequilibrium adjustment and long-run equilibrium in the international stock markets: A network-based approach.

Shunned stocks and market states (2021)
Journal Article
Han, X., Li, Y., & Onishchenko, O. (in press). Shunned stocks and market states. The European journal of finance, https://doi.org/10.1080/1351847X.2021.2015699

Hong and Kacperczyk (2009, The price of sin: The effects of social norms on markets. Journal of Financial Economics 93(1), 15–36) document that ‘sin stocks’ (alcohol, tobacco, and gambling) earn relatively high returns on a risk-adjusted basis. We re... Read More about Shunned stocks and market states.

Cultural diversity and borrowers’ behavior: evidence from peer-to-peer lending (2021)
Journal Article
Chen, Z., Jin, M., Andrikopoulos, A., & Li, Y. (in press). Cultural diversity and borrowers’ behavior: evidence from peer-to-peer lending. The European journal of finance, 1-25. https://doi.org/10.1080/1351847X.2021.2007496

We study cultural diversity and borrowers’ behavior using data from peer-to-peer lending platform Renrendai. We proxy cultural diversity with the Linguistic Diversity Index, measured by the population-weighted number of dialects spoken in a region, a... Read More about Cultural diversity and borrowers’ behavior: evidence from peer-to-peer lending.

Dark matters: the effects of dark trading restrictions on liquidity and informational efficiency (2021)
Journal Article
Ibikunle, G., Li, Y., Mare, D., & Sun, Y. (2021). Dark matters: the effects of dark trading restrictions on liquidity and informational efficiency. Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 75, Article 101435. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.intfin.2021.101435

We exploit the implementation of the double volume cap regulation introduced under the Markets in Financial Instruments Directive II in the European equity markets to investigate the impact of dark trading on liquidity and informational efficiency. W... Read More about Dark matters: the effects of dark trading restrictions on liquidity and informational efficiency.

The existence and severity of the forward premium puzzle during tranquil and turbulent periods: Developed versus developing country currencies (2021)
Journal Article
Shehadeh, A. A., Li, Y., Vigne, S. A., Almaharmeh, M. I., & Wang, Y. (2021). The existence and severity of the forward premium puzzle during tranquil and turbulent periods: Developed versus developing country currencies. International review of financial analysis, 78, Article 101871. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2021.101871

In this paper we investigate the forward premium bias (FPB) puzzle for a number of developed and developing country currencies. Our main objective is to examine the possible variations in the existence and severity of the bias for different currency... Read More about The existence and severity of the forward premium puzzle during tranquil and turbulent periods: Developed versus developing country currencies.

Low liquidity beta anomaly in China (2021)
Journal Article
Frömmel, M., Han, X., Li, Y., & Vigne, S. A. (in press). Low liquidity beta anomaly in China. Emerging markets review, Article 100832. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ememar.2021.100832

The conventional risk-based theory does not reconcile with the liquidity-beta anomaly in China: Low liquidity-beta stocks outperform high liquidity-beta stocks on a risk-adjusted basis. This striking pattern is robust to different weighting schemes,... Read More about Low liquidity beta anomaly in China.

The role of hedge funds in the asset pricing: evidence from China (2021)
Journal Article
Zhang, J., Zhang, W., Li, Y., & Feng, X. (in press). The role of hedge funds in the asset pricing: evidence from China. The European journal of finance, 1-25. https://doi.org/10.1080/1351847X.2021.1929373

We document that hedge funds nurture mispricing in the Chinese financial market. We examine the relationship between hedge fund holdings and the degree of mispricing, assuming that hedge funds’ stock holdings are mainly for arbitrage and not for hedg... Read More about The role of hedge funds in the asset pricing: evidence from China.

Was a deterioration in ‘connectedness’ a leading indicator of the European sovereign debt crisis? (2021)
Journal Article
Hamill, P. A., Li, Y., Pantelous, A., Vigne, S. A., & Waterworth, J. (2021). Was a deterioration in ‘connectedness’ a leading indicator of the European sovereign debt crisis?. Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Article 101300. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.intfin.2021.101300

This paper investigates network connectedness of European sovereign bond markets from 2005 to 2011. To overcome weaknesses in alternative methodologies to estimate network connectedness we adopt the unified methodology recommended by Diebold and Yilm... Read More about Was a deterioration in ‘connectedness’ a leading indicator of the European sovereign debt crisis?.

Same same but different – Stylized facts of CTA sub strategies (2021)
Journal Article
Erdős, P., Li, Y., Liu, R., & Mende, A. (2021). Same same but different – Stylized facts of CTA sub strategies. International review of financial analysis, 74, Article 101657. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2021.101657

Using a unique dataset of daily returns of 89 programmes of Commodity Trading Advisors (CTA), we investigate the distributional properties of CTA strategies including trend following, fundamental and contrarian strategies. We find that daily data exh... Read More about Same same but different – Stylized facts of CTA sub strategies.

Bayesian Value-at-Risk backtesting: The case of annuity pricing (2021)
Journal Article
Leung, M., Li, Y., Pantelous, A. A., & Vigne, S. A. (in press). Bayesian Value-at-Risk backtesting: The case of annuity pricing. European journal of operational research, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejor.2020.12.051

We propose new Unconditional, Independence and Conditional Coverage VaR-forecast backtests for the case of annuity pricing under a Bayesian framework that significantly minimise the direct and indirect effects of p-hacking or other biased outcomes in... Read More about Bayesian Value-at-Risk backtesting: The case of annuity pricing.

Order book price impact in the Chinese soybean futures market (2021)
Journal Article
Jin, M., Kearney, F., Li, Y., & Yang, Y. C. (in press). Order book price impact in the Chinese soybean futures market. International journal of finance & economics : IJFE, https://doi.org/10.1002/ijfe.2439

We study the price impact of order flow in the world's largest soybean meal futures markets. Our intraday results indicate that incoming orders can be used to explain and predict future price changes. Our results are shown to be robust to various ord... Read More about Order book price impact in the Chinese soybean futures market.

Investor heterogeneity and momentum-based trading strategies in China (2020)
Journal Article
Gao, Y., Han, X., Li, Y., & Xiong, X. (2021). Investor heterogeneity and momentum-based trading strategies in China. International review of financial analysis, 74, Article 101654. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2020.101654

The conventional momentum strategy performs poorly overall in China, because stock prices behave very differently when markets are open for trading versus when they are closed. Stocks that are past intraday (overnight) winners persistently outperform... Read More about Investor heterogeneity and momentum-based trading strategies in China.

Should a retailer sell its own extended warranties or resell those from the manufacturer when confronting supplier encroachment? (2020)
Journal Article
Chai, J., Li, H., Yan, W., & Li, Y. (2021). Should a retailer sell its own extended warranties or resell those from the manufacturer when confronting supplier encroachment?. Journal of the Operational Research Society, 72(9), 2046-2058. https://doi.org/10.1080/01605682.2020.1759383

Due to fierce competition in the product market under conditions of supplier encroachment, many brand name retailers, including Sears, Best Buy, and Circuit City, depend on the extended warranty contracts that they sell along with the products. The d... Read More about Should a retailer sell its own extended warranties or resell those from the manufacturer when confronting supplier encroachment?.

Investor Overconfidence and the Security Market Line: New Evidence from China (2020)
Journal Article
Han, X., Li, K., & Li, Y. (2020). Investor Overconfidence and the Security Market Line: New Evidence from China. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 117, Article 103961. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jedc.2020.103961

This paper documents a highly downward-sloping security market line (SML) in China, which is more puzzling than the typical “flattened” SML in the US, and does not reconcile with existing theories of the low-beta anomaly. We show that investor overco... Read More about Investor Overconfidence and the Security Market Line: New Evidence from China.

Asymmetric volatility spillovers between economic policy uncertainty and stock markets: Evidence from China (2020)
Journal Article
Wang, Z., Li, Y., & He, F. (2020). Asymmetric volatility spillovers between economic policy uncertainty and stock markets: Evidence from China. Research in international business and finance, 53, Article 101233. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ribaf.2020.101233

This study explores the spillovers between economic policy uncertainty (EPU) and stock market realized volatility (RV). The monthly index of Chinese and US EPU and RV are used to analyze the pairwise directional spillovers. We find that RV is a net r... Read More about Asymmetric volatility spillovers between economic policy uncertainty and stock markets: Evidence from China.

How did order-flow impact bond prices during the European Sovereign Debt Crisis? (2019)
Journal Article
Lin, Z., Hamill, P. A., Li, Y., Sun, Z., & Waterworth, J. (2020). How did order-flow impact bond prices during the European Sovereign Debt Crisis?. International Review of Economics and Finance, 67, 13-24. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.iref.2019.12.008

The impact of trades on price dynamics in the European sovereign debt markets is of significant importance to policy makers and market participants. This paper uses high-frequency quote and transaction data from the MTS European sovereign bond inter-... Read More about How did order-flow impact bond prices during the European Sovereign Debt Crisis?.

Social media effect, investor recognition and the cross-section of stock returns (2019)
Journal Article
Meng, X., Zhang, W., Li, Y., Cao, X., & Feng, X. (2020). Social media effect, investor recognition and the cross-section of stock returns. International review of financial analysis, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2019.101432

Investor recognition affects cross-sectional stock returns. In informationally incomplete markets, investors have limited recognition of all securities, and their holding of stocks with low recognition requires compensation for being imperfectly dive... Read More about Social media effect, investor recognition and the cross-section of stock returns.

Intraday time-series momentum: Evidence from China (2019)
Journal Article
Jin, M., Kearney, F., Li, Y., & Yang, Y. C. (in press). Intraday time-series momentum: Evidence from China. Journal of Futures Markets, https://doi.org/10.1002/fut.22084

This study conducts an investigation of intraday time‐series momentum across four Chinese commodity futures contracts: copper, steel, soybean, and soybean meal. Our results indicate that the first half‐hour return positively predicts the last half‐ho... Read More about Intraday time-series momentum: Evidence from China.

Overnight momentum, informational shocks, and late informed trading in China (2019)
Journal Article
Gao, Y., Han, X., Li, Y., & Xiong, X. (2019). Overnight momentum, informational shocks, and late informed trading in China. International review of financial analysis, 66, 101394. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2019.101394

Based on high-frequency firm-level data, this paper uncovers new empirical patterns on intraday momentum in China. First, there exists a strong intraday momentum effect at the firm level. Second, the intraday predictability stems mainly from the over... Read More about Overnight momentum, informational shocks, and late informed trading in China.

Selling vertically differentiated products under one channel or two? A quality segmentation model for differentiated distribution channels (2019)
Journal Article
Chai, J., Yan, W., Li, Y., Palmer, M., & Huang, Q. (2019). Selling vertically differentiated products under one channel or two? A quality segmentation model for differentiated distribution channels. Journal of the Operational Research Society, https://doi.org/10.1080/01605682.2019.1605469

Many manufacturers, including Lenovo, Sony, Procter & Gamble, and Buckle, have adopted differentiated distribution channels to market vertically differentiated products. However, there is scant literature addressing the issue of quality differentiati... Read More about Selling vertically differentiated products under one channel or two? A quality segmentation model for differentiated distribution channels.

Bottom-up sentiment and return predictability of the market portfolio (2019)
Journal Article
Guo, J., Li, Y., & Zheng, M. (2019). Bottom-up sentiment and return predictability of the market portfolio. Finance research letters, 29, 57-60. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2019.03.008

This paper provides strong evidence that market sentiment measured bottom-up from individual-stock sentiment is negatively related to future long-term market returns and is positively correlated with contemporaneous returns.

Heterogeneous agent models in financial markets: A nonlinear dynamics approach (2018)
Journal Article
He, X. Z., Li, Y., & Zheng, M. (2019). Heterogeneous agent models in financial markets: A nonlinear dynamics approach. International review of financial analysis, 62, 135-149. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2018.11.016

Studies on financial markets have accumulated consistent evidences of stylized facts and anomalies, which can be characterized by stochastic switching among different co-existing market states but yet difficult to reconcile with traditionally rationa... Read More about Heterogeneous agent models in financial markets: A nonlinear dynamics approach.

A new attention proxy and order imbalance: Evidence from China (2018)
Journal Article
Gao, Y., Xiong, X., Feng, X., Li, Y., & Vigne, S. A. (2019). A new attention proxy and order imbalance: Evidence from China. Finance research letters, 29, 411-417. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2018.11.009

In this paper, we propose a new direct proxy for investors' attention in the Chinese stock market: daily abnormal reading quantity of each stock's posts on the Eastmoney guba website. Using A-shares samples of the Shanghai Stock Exchange, we find tha... Read More about A new attention proxy and order imbalance: Evidence from China.

Sustainable decisions on product upgrade confrontations with remanufacturing operations (2018)
Journal Article
Sun, L., Zhang, L., & Li, Y. (2018). Sustainable decisions on product upgrade confrontations with remanufacturing operations. Sustainability, 10(11), Article 4090. https://doi.org/10.3390/su10114090

In recent decades, remanufacturing is perceived to be an environmentally friendly option due to the reduced consumption of materials, energy etc. It should be noted that whether the remanufacturing operations are undertaken by the original equipment... Read More about Sustainable decisions on product upgrade confrontations with remanufacturing operations.

Price discovery in the Chinese gold market (2018)
Journal Article
Jin, M., Li, Y., Wang, J., & Yang, Y. C. (2018). Price discovery in the Chinese gold market. Journal of Futures Markets, 38(10), 1262-1281. https://doi.org/10.1002/fut.21938

This study conducts price discovery analysis in the Chinese gold market. Our results indicate that Chinese gold market price discovery occurs predominantly in the futures market. The result is robust to numerous different measures of price discovery,... Read More about Price discovery in the Chinese gold market.

Long memory in financial markets: A heterogeneous agent model perspective (2018)
Journal Article
Zheng, M., Liu, R., & Li, Y. (2018). Long memory in financial markets: A heterogeneous agent model perspective. International review of financial analysis, 58, 38-51. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2018.04.001

During last decades, studies on asset pricing models witnessed a paradigm shift from rational expectation and representative agent to an alternative, behavioral view, where agents are heterogeneous and boundedly rational. In this paper, we model the... Read More about Long memory in financial markets: A heterogeneous agent model perspective.

Did long-memory of liquidity signal the European sovereign debt crisis? (2018)
Journal Article
Sun, Z., Hamill, P. A., Li, Y., Yang, Y. C., & Vigne, S. A. (2019). Did long-memory of liquidity signal the European sovereign debt crisis?. Annals of Operations Research, 282(1-2), 355-377. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10479-018-2850-y

This paper analyses high frequency MTS data to comprehensively evaluate the liquidity of the European sovereign bond markets before and during the European sovereign debt crisis for eleven countries. The Hill index, Generalized Hurst exponent and Dyn... Read More about Did long-memory of liquidity signal the European sovereign debt crisis?.

An analysis of liquidity skewness for European sovereign bond markets (2018)
Journal Article
Yan, W., Hamill, P., Li, Y., Vigne, S. A., & Waterworth, J. (2018). An analysis of liquidity skewness for European sovereign bond markets. Finance research letters, 26, 274-280. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2018.02.027

We examine liquidity skewness by providing an analysis of bid-ask spreads for a comprehensive high-frequency dataset comprising Eurozone countries’ sovereign bonds. European sovereign bond markets exhibited increasing positive skewness over the sampl... Read More about An analysis of liquidity skewness for European sovereign bond markets.

Asset allocation with time series momentum and reversal (2018)
Journal Article
He, X., Li, K., & Li, Y. (2018). Asset allocation with time series momentum and reversal. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 91, 441-457. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jedc.2018.02.004

To capture the well documented time series momentum and reversal in asset price, we develop a continuous-time asset price model, derive the optimal investment strategy theoretically, and test the strategy empirically. We show that, by combining marke... Read More about Asset allocation with time series momentum and reversal.

Risk adjusted momentum strategies: A comparison between constant and dynamic volatility scaling approaches (2018)
Journal Article
Fan, M., Li, Y., & Liu, J. (2018). Risk adjusted momentum strategies: A comparison between constant and dynamic volatility scaling approaches. Research in international business and finance, 46, 131-140. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ribaf.2017.12.004

We compare the performance of two volatility scaling methods in momentum strategies: (i) the constant volatility scaling approach of Barroso and Santa-Clara (2015), and (ii) the dynamic volatility scaling method of Daniel and Moskowitz (2016). We per... Read More about Risk adjusted momentum strategies: A comparison between constant and dynamic volatility scaling approaches.

Liquidity skewness in the London Stock Exchange (2017)
Journal Article
Hsieh, T. H., Li, Y., McKillop, D. G., & Wu, Y. (2018). Liquidity skewness in the London Stock Exchange. International review of financial analysis, 56, 12-18. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2017.12.006

We study liquidity on the London Stock Exchange. We find that the average bid-ask spread declines, but that the skewness of the spread increases. These results are robust to firm size, trading volume and price level. Our findings hold when the bid-as... Read More about Liquidity skewness in the London Stock Exchange.

The adaptiveness in stock markets: testing the stylized facts in the DAX 30 (2017)
Journal Article
He, X. Z., & Li, Y. (2017). The adaptiveness in stock markets: testing the stylized facts in the DAX 30. Journal of Evolutionary Economics, 27(5), 1071-1094. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00191-017-0505-9

By testing a simple asset pricing model of heterogeneous agents to characterize the power-law behavior of the DAX 30 from 1975 to 2007, we provide supporting evidence on empirical findings that investors and fund managers use combinations of fixed an... Read More about The adaptiveness in stock markets: testing the stylized facts in the DAX 30.

Can investor sentiment be a momentum time-series predictor? Evidence from China (2017)
Journal Article
Han, X., & Li, Y. (2017). Can investor sentiment be a momentum time-series predictor? Evidence from China. Journal of Empirical Finance, 42, 212-239. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jempfin.2017.04.001

This paper challenges the prevailing view that investor sentiment is a contrarian predictor of market returns at nearly all horizons. As an important piece of "out-of-sample" evidence, we document that investor sentiment in China is a reliable moment... Read More about Can investor sentiment be a momentum time-series predictor? Evidence from China.

Models of mortality rates–analysing the residuals (2017)
Journal Article
O’hare, C., & Li, Y. (2017). Models of mortality rates–analysing the residuals. Applied economics, 49(52), 5309-5323. https://doi.org/10.1080/00036846.2017.1305092

The area of mortality modelling has received significant attention over the last 25 years owing to the need to quantify and forecast improving mortality rates. This need is driven primarily by the concern of governments, insurance and actuarial profe... Read More about Models of mortality rates–analysing the residuals.

A rising e-channel tide lifts all boats? the impact of manufacturer multichannel encroachment on traditional selling and leasing (2016)
Journal Article
Yan, W., Li, Y., Wu, Y., & Palmer, M. (2016). A rising e-channel tide lifts all boats? the impact of manufacturer multichannel encroachment on traditional selling and leasing. Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society, 2016, Article 2898021. https://doi.org/10.1155/2016/2898021

Organizing and managing channels of distribution is an important marketing task. Due to the emergence of electronic commerce on the Internet, e-channel distribution systems have been adopted by many manufacturers. However, academic and anecdotal evid... Read More about A rising e-channel tide lifts all boats? the impact of manufacturer multichannel encroachment on traditional selling and leasing.

Modelling mortality: are we heading in the right direction? (2016)
Journal Article
O’hare, C., & Li, Y. (2017). Modelling mortality: are we heading in the right direction?. Applied economics, 49(2), 170-187. https://doi.org/10.1080/00036846.2016.1192278

Predicting life expectancy has become of upmost importance in society. Pension providers, insurance companies, government bodies and individuals in the developed world have a vested interest in understanding how long people will live for. This desire... Read More about Modelling mortality: are we heading in the right direction?.

US dollar carry trades in the era of “cheap money” (2016)
Journal Article
Erdõs, P., Erdos, P., Li, Y., Moore, M., & Shehadeh, A. (2016). US dollar carry trades in the era of “cheap money”. Czech journal of economics and finance, 66(5), 374-404

In this paper, we employ a unique dataset of actual US dollar (USD) forward positions against a number of currencies taken by so-called commodity trading advisors (CTAs). We investigate the extent to which these positions exhibit a pattern of USD car... Read More about US dollar carry trades in the era of “cheap money”.

Identifying the relative importance of stock characteristics (2016)
Journal Article
French, D., Wu, Y., & Li, Y. (2016). Identifying the relative importance of stock characteristics. Journal of Multinational Financial Management, 34, 80-91. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.mulfin.2016.01.002

There is no consensus in the literature as to which stock characteristic best explains returns. In this study, we employ a novel econometric approach better suited than the traditional characteristic sorting method to answer this question for the UK... Read More about Identifying the relative importance of stock characteristics.

Identifying structural breaks in stochastic mortality models (2015)
Journal Article
O’Hare, C., & Li, Y. (2015). Identifying structural breaks in stochastic mortality models. ASCE-ASME Journal of Risk and Uncertainty in Engineering Systems, Part B: Mechanical Engineering, 1(2), Article 021001. https://doi.org/10.1115/1.4029740

In recent years, the issue of life expectancy has become of utmost importance to pension providers, insurance companies, and government bodies in the developed world. Significant and consistent improvements in mortality rates and hence life expectanc... Read More about Identifying structural breaks in stochastic mortality models.

Price discovery in the dual-platform US Treasury market (2015)
Journal Article
Sun, Z., Dunne, P. G., & Li, Y. (2015). Price discovery in the dual-platform US Treasury market. Global finance journal, 28, 95-110. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gfj.2015.02.001

Inter-dealer trading in US Treasury securities is almost equally divided between two electronic trading platforms that have only slight differences in terms of their relative liquidity and transparency. BrokerTec is more active in the trading of 2-,... Read More about Price discovery in the dual-platform US Treasury market.

Testing of a market fraction model and power-law behaviour in the DAX 30 (2015)
Journal Article
He, X. Z., & Li, Y. (2015). Testing of a market fraction model and power-law behaviour in the DAX 30. Journal of Empirical Finance, 31, 1-17. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jempfin.2015.01.001

This paper tests a simple market fraction asset pricing model with heterogeneous agents. By selecting a set of structural parameters of the model through a systematic procedure, we show that the autocorrelations (of returns, absolute returns and squa... Read More about Testing of a market fraction model and power-law behaviour in the DAX 30.

Structural breaks in mortality models and their consequences (2014)
Conference Proceeding
O'Hare, C., & Li, Y. (2014). Structural breaks in mortality models and their consequences. In M. Beer, S. Au, & J. W. Hall (Eds.), Vulnerability, Uncertainty, and Risk: Quantification, Mitigation, and Management (1190-1204). https://doi.org/10.1061/9780784413609.120

In recent years, the issue of life expectancy has become of upmost importance to pension providers, insurance companies and the government bodies in the developed world. Significant and consistent improvements in mortality rates and, hence, life expe... Read More about Structural breaks in mortality models and their consequences.

Do low-priced stocks drive long-term contrarian performance on the London Stock Exchange? (2012)
Journal Article
Wu, Y., Li, Y., & Hamill, P. (2012). Do low-priced stocks drive long-term contrarian performance on the London Stock Exchange?. Financial Review, 47(3), 501-530. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6288.2012.00338.x

We investigate whether low‐priced stocks drive long‐term contrarian performance on the U.K. market. We find that contrarian performance at low, middle, and high price levels is positive. On the Fama‐French risk adjusted basis, we find both low‐priced... Read More about Do low-priced stocks drive long-term contrarian performance on the London Stock Exchange?.

Explaining young mortality (2011)
Journal Article
O'Hare, C., O’Hare, C., & Li, Y. (2012). Explaining young mortality. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 50(1), 12-25. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.insmatheco.2011.09.005

Stochastic modeling of mortality rates focuses on fitting linear models to logarithmically adjusted mortality data from the middle or late ages. Whilst this modeling enables insurers to project mortality rates and hence price mortality products it do... Read More about Explaining young mortality.

Long-term return reversals-Value and growth or tax? UK evidence (2010)
Journal Article
Wu, Y., & Li, Y. (2011). Long-term return reversals-Value and growth or tax? UK evidence. Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 21(3), 347-368. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.intfin.2010.12.001

This paper examines (i) whether value-growth characteristics have more power than past performance in predicting return reversals; and (ii) whether typical rational behaviour such as incentives to delay paying capital gain taxes can better explain lo... Read More about Long-term return reversals-Value and growth or tax? UK evidence.

Econometric analysis of microscopic simulation models (2010)
Journal Article
Li, Y., Donkers, B., & Melenberg, B. (2010). Econometric analysis of microscopic simulation models. Quantitative finance, 10(10), 1187-1201. https://doi.org/10.1080/14697680903460176

Microscopic simulation models are often evaluated based on visual inspection of the results. This paper presents formal econometric techniques to compare microscopic simulation (MS) models with real-life data. A related result is a methodology to com... Read More about Econometric analysis of microscopic simulation models.

Do benchmark African equity indices exhibit the stylized facts? (2010)
Journal Article
Li, Y., Hamill, P. A., & Opong, K. K. (2010). Do benchmark African equity indices exhibit the stylized facts?. Global finance journal, 21(1), 71-97. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gfj.2010.03.006

This paper investigates if benchmark African equity indices exhibit the stylized facts reported for financial time series returns. The returns distributions of the Africa All-Share, Large, Medium and Small Company Indices were found to be leptokurtot... Read More about Do benchmark African equity indices exhibit the stylized facts?.

Financial bubbles: A learning effect modelling approach (2009)
Book Chapter
Hsieh, T. H., Li, Y., & McKillop, D. G. (2009). Financial bubbles: A learning effect modelling approach. In A. Brabazon, & M. O'Neill (Eds.), Natural computing in computational finance (117-135). Berlin, Heidelberg: Springer Verlag. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-95974-8_7

This chapter studies financial bubbles by incorporating a learning effect into the coordination game model which was articulated by Ozdenoren and Yuan [36]. Monte Carlo simulation is then utilised to analyse how the addition of a learning effect impa... Read More about Financial bubbles: A learning effect modelling approach.

Can trend followers survive in the long-run? Insights from agent-based modeling (2008)
Book Chapter
He, X. Z., Hamill, P., & Li, Y. (2008). Can trend followers survive in the long-run? Insights from agent-based modeling. In A. Brabazon, & M. O'Neill (Eds.), Natural Computing in Computational Finance (253-269). Berlin, Heidelberg: Springer Verlag. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-77477-8_14

This chapter uses a simple stochastic market fraction (MF) asset pricing model to investigate market dominance, profitability, and how traders adopting fundamental analysis or trend following strategies can survive under various market conditions in... Read More about Can trend followers survive in the long-run? Insights from agent-based modeling.

Heterogeneity, convergence, and autocorrelations (2007)
Journal Article
He, X. Z., & Li, Y. (2008). Heterogeneity, convergence, and autocorrelations. Quantitative finance, 8(1), 59-79. https://doi.org/10.1080/14697680601159500

This paper is a contribution to the literature on the explanatory power and calibration of heterogeneous asset pricing models. We set out a new stochastic market-fraction asset pricing model of fundamentalists and trend followers under a market maker... Read More about Heterogeneity, convergence, and autocorrelations.

Power-law behaviour, heterogeneity, and trend chasing (2007)
Journal Article
He, X. Z., & Li, Y. (2007). Power-law behaviour, heterogeneity, and trend chasing. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 31(10), 3396-3426. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jedc.2006.11.008

Long-range dependence in volatility is one of the most prominent examples in financial market research involving universal power laws. Its characterization has recently spurred attempts to provide some explanations of the underlying mechanism. This p... Read More about Power-law behaviour, heterogeneity, and trend chasing.

The econometric analysis of agent-based models in finance: An application (2007)
Journal Article
Li, Y., Donkers, B., & Melenberg, B. (2007). The econometric analysis of agent-based models in finance: An application. Lecture notes in computer science, 4881 LNCS, 1081-1091. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-77226-2_108

This paper illustrates how to compare different agent-based models and how to compare an agent-based model with real data. As examples we investigate ARFIMA models, the probability density function, and the spectral density function. We illustrate th... Read More about The econometric analysis of agent-based models in finance: An application.