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Nonlinearity everywhere: implications for empirical finance, technical analysis and value at risk (2021)
Journal Article
Amini, S., Hudson, R., Urquhart, A., & Wang, J. (in press). Nonlinearity everywhere: implications for empirical finance, technical analysis and value at risk. The European journal of finance, https://doi.org/10.1080/1351847X.2021.1900888

We show that expected returns on US stocks and all major global stock market indices have a particular form of non-linear dependence on previous returns. The expected sign of returns tends to reverse after large price movements and trends tend to con... Read More about Nonlinearity everywhere: implications for empirical finance, technical analysis and value at risk.

The implications of liquidity ratios: Evidence from Pakistan stock exchange limited (2020)
Journal Article
Ahmed, R., ullah, S., Hudson, R., & Gregoriou, A. (in press). The implications of liquidity ratios: Evidence from Pakistan stock exchange limited. Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.qref.2020.12.006

In this paper we test two recently developed liquidity measures the Return-to-Turnover (hereafter RtoTR) proposed by Florackis et al. (2011) and Return-to-Volume (hereafter RtoV) recommended by Amihud, 2002, for 386 companies listed on the Pakistani... Read More about The implications of liquidity ratios: Evidence from Pakistan stock exchange limited.

Political uncertainty and sentiment: Evidence from the impact of Brexit on financial markets (2020)
Journal Article
Hudson, R., Urquhart, A., & Zhang, H. (2020). Political uncertainty and sentiment: Evidence from the impact of Brexit on financial markets. European Economic Review, 129, Article 103523. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.euroecorev.2020.103523

This paper investigates whether the impact of Brexit on financial markets is consistent with rational asset pricing models using 34 financial indices. Our results indicate that, whilst Brexit events affect both the risk and returns of stocks, the ret... Read More about Political uncertainty and sentiment: Evidence from the impact of Brexit on financial markets.

Market frictions and the geographical location of global stock exchanges. Evidence from the S&P Global Index (2020)
Journal Article
Hudson, R., & Gregoriou, A. (in press). Market frictions and the geographical location of global stock exchanges. Evidence from the S&P Global Index. Journal of Economic Studies, https://doi.org/10.1108/JES-03-2020-0091

We examine the impact of trading costs on investor average holding periods for the S&P global 1200 index. We report overwhelming evidence that global equity indices cannot be pooled. When we differentiate between stock indices based on their geograph... Read More about Market frictions and the geographical location of global stock exchanges. Evidence from the S&P Global Index.

Stock liquidity and return distribution: Evidence from the London Stock Exchange (2020)
Journal Article
Wang, A., Hudson, R., Rhodes, M., Zhang, S., & Gregoriou, A. (2020). Stock liquidity and return distribution: Evidence from the London Stock Exchange. Finance research letters, Article 101539. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2020.101539

We investigate the relationship between liquidity and the distribution of returns, for all listed firms on the London Stock Exchange between 2002-2018. We find a strong relationship between the distribution of returns, as measured by skewness and kur... Read More about Stock liquidity and return distribution: Evidence from the London Stock Exchange.

An empirical study of the cross market efficiency of the index options market: A case study from the Italian derivatives market (2020)
Journal Article
El Kalak, I., & Hudson, R. (2020). An empirical study of the cross market efficiency of the index options market: A case study from the Italian derivatives market. Review of accounting & finance, https://doi.org/10.1108/RAF-11-2016-0184

© 2020, Emerald Publishing Limited. Purpose: This study aims to examine the cross-market efficiency of the FTSE/MIB index options contracts traded on the Italian derivatives market (IDEM) during a period including the financial crisis between 1st Oct... Read More about An empirical study of the cross market efficiency of the index options market: A case study from the Italian derivatives market.

Technical trading and cryptocurrencies (2019)
Journal Article
Hudson, R., & Urquhart, A. (2019). Technical trading and cryptocurrencies. Annals of Operations Research, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10479-019-03357-1

© 2019, The Author(s). This paper carries out a comprehensive examination of technical trading rules in cryptocurrency markets, using data from two Bitcoin markets and three other popular cryptocurrencies. We employ almost 15,000 technical trading ru... Read More about Technical trading and cryptocurrencies.

High-frequency trading from an evolutionary perspective: Financial markets as adaptive systems (2018)
Journal Article
Manahov, V., Hudson, R., & Urquhart, A. (2018). High-frequency trading from an evolutionary perspective: Financial markets as adaptive systems. International journal of finance & economics : IJFE, 24(2), 943-962. https://doi.org/10.1002/ijfe.1700

The recent rapid growth of algorithmic high-frequency trading strategies makes it a very interesting time to revisit the long-standing debates about the efficiency of stock prices and the best way to model the actions of market participants. To evalu... Read More about High-frequency trading from an evolutionary perspective: Financial markets as adaptive systems.

Momentum effects in China: A review of the literature and an empirical explanation of prevailing controversies (2018)
Journal Article
Yang, Y., Gebka, B., & Hudson, R. (2019). Momentum effects in China: A review of the literature and an empirical explanation of prevailing controversies. Research in international business and finance, 47, 78-101. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ribaf.2018.07.003

© 2018 Elsevier B.V. The contribution of this paper is to enable solid conclusions to be drawn about the existence of momentum effects in China as the current evidence is unsatisfactory. We review and analyse the existing empirical studies on momentu... Read More about Momentum effects in China: A review of the literature and an empirical explanation of prevailing controversies.

Test of recent advances in extracting information from option prices (2017)
Journal Article
Healy, J. V., Gregoriou, A., & Hudson, R. (2018). Test of recent advances in extracting information from option prices. International review of financial analysis, 56, 292-302. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2017.09.011

© 2017 Elsevier Inc. A large literature exists on techniques for extracting probability distributions for future asset prices from option prices. No definitive method has been developed however. The parametric 'mixture of normals', and non-parametric... Read More about Test of recent advances in extracting information from option prices.

Stock liquidity and SMEs’ likelihood of bankruptcy: evidence from the US market (2017)
Journal Article
El Kalak, I., Azevedo, A., Hudson, R., & Abd Karim, M. (2017). Stock liquidity and SMEs’ likelihood of bankruptcy: evidence from the US market. Research in international business and finance, 42, 1383-1393. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ribaf.2017.07.077

We study the association between the stock liquidity of SMEs in the US and their likelihood of bankruptcy, using a dataset that comprises information on 5075 firms over the time period from 1984 to 2013 using the hazard model of Campbell et al. (2008... Read More about Stock liquidity and SMEs’ likelihood of bankruptcy: evidence from the US market.

Stock predictability and preceding stock price changes - Evidence from central and Eastern European markets (2017)
Journal Article
Ison, L., & Hudson, R. (2017). Stock predictability and preceding stock price changes - Evidence from central and Eastern European markets. Economics Bulletin, 37(2), 733-740

This paper extends the empirical evidence on stock returns after preceding price innovations using data from Central and Eastern European (CEE) markets. In contrast to many previous papers, we find no evidence of either overreaction effects or ration... Read More about Stock predictability and preceding stock price changes - Evidence from central and Eastern European markets.

Sampling frequency and the performance of different types of technical trading rules (2017)
Journal Article
Hudson, R., McGroarty, F., & Urquhart, A. (2017). Sampling frequency and the performance of different types of technical trading rules. Finance research letters, 22, 136-139. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2016.12.015

The predictive ability of technical trading rules has been studied in great detail however many papers group all technical trading rules together into one basket. We argue that there are two main types of technical trading rules, namely rules based o... Read More about Sampling frequency and the performance of different types of technical trading rules.

Reviewing the hedge funds literature I: Hedge funds and hedge funds' managerial characteristics (2016)
Journal Article
El Kalak, I., Azevedo, A., & Hudson, R. (2016). Reviewing the hedge funds literature I: Hedge funds and hedge funds' managerial characteristics. International review of financial analysis, 48, 85-97. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2016.09.008

© 2016 Elsevier Inc. This paper summarizes the literature on hedge funds (HFs) developed over the last two decades, particularly that which relates to managerial characteristics (a companion piece covers the return and risk management characteristics... Read More about Reviewing the hedge funds literature I: Hedge funds and hedge funds' managerial characteristics.

Reviewing the hedge funds literature II: Hedge funds' returns and risk management characteristics (2016)
Journal Article
El Kalak, I., Azevedo, A., & Hudson, R. (2016). Reviewing the hedge funds literature II: Hedge funds' returns and risk management characteristics. International review of financial analysis, 48, 55-66. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2016.09.006

© 2016 Elsevier Inc. This paper summarizes the literature on hedge funds (HFs) developed over the last two decades, particularly that which relates to risk management characteristics (a companion piece investigates the managerial characteristics of H... Read More about Reviewing the hedge funds literature II: Hedge funds' returns and risk management characteristics.

Dispelling the myth of a value premium: contrary evidence of Malaysian crony capitalism (2016)
Journal Article
Ebrahim, M.-S., Hudson, R., Iqbal, A., & Eskandar Shah MohdRasid, M. (2016). Dispelling the myth of a value premium: contrary evidence of Malaysian crony capitalism. International Journal of Banking, Accounting and Finance, 7(1), 1-33. https://doi.org/10.1504/ijbaaf.2016.079164

This paper contradicts the existence of a universal value anomaly by studying Malaysia, a country with a unique institutional setting. We investigate this counter-example to attribute the anomaly to: 1) the leverage effect of value firms; 2) the inve... Read More about Dispelling the myth of a value premium: contrary evidence of Malaysian crony capitalism.

Investigation of institutional changes in the UK housing market using structural break tests and time-varying parameter models (2016)
Journal Article
Zhang, H., Hudson, R., Metcalf, H., & Manahov, V. (2017). Investigation of institutional changes in the UK housing market using structural break tests and time-varying parameter models. Empirical economics, 53(2), 617-640. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00181-016-1127-z

© 2016, Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg. This paper investigates the effects of institutional changes within the UK housing market in recent decades using structural break tests and time-varying parameter models. This approach is motivated by model... Read More about Investigation of institutional changes in the UK housing market using structural break tests and time-varying parameter models.

The price, quality and distribution of mortgage payment protection insurance: a hedonic pricing approach (2016)
Journal Article
Ashton, J. K., & Hudson, R. S. (2017). The price, quality and distribution of mortgage payment protection insurance: a hedonic pricing approach. The British accounting review, 49(2), 242-255. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.bar.2016.07.003

Mortgage payment protection insurance (hereafter MPPI) provides varying combinations of accident, sickness and unemployment insurance and is used to protect the mortgage payments of policyholders in the event of a fall in income. Despite alleviating... Read More about The price, quality and distribution of mortgage payment protection insurance: a hedonic pricing approach.

The effect of size on the failure probabilities of SMEs : an empirical study on the US market using discrete hazard model (2015)
Journal Article
El Kalak, I., & Hudson, R. (2016). The effect of size on the failure probabilities of SMEs : an empirical study on the US market using discrete hazard model. International review of financial analysis, 43(January), 135-145. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2015.11.009

This paper investigates the extent to which the size affects the SME probabilities of bankruptcy. Using a dataset of (11,117) US non-financial firms, of which (465) filed for insolvency under chapters 7/11 between 1980 and 2013. We forecast the bankr... Read More about The effect of size on the failure probabilities of SMEs : an empirical study on the US market using discrete hazard model.