Nonlinearity everywhere: implications for empirical finance, technical analysis and value at risk
(2021)
Journal Article
Amini, S., Hudson, R., Urquhart, A., & Wang, J. (in press). Nonlinearity everywhere: implications for empirical finance, technical analysis and value at risk. The European journal of finance, https://doi.org/10.1080/1351847X.2021.1900888
We show that expected returns on US stocks and all major global stock market indices have a particular form of non-linear dependence on previous returns. The expected sign of returns tends to reverse after large price movements and trends tend to con... Read More about Nonlinearity everywhere: implications for empirical finance, technical analysis and value at risk.