Outputs (2)

The technological construction of reality (2024)
Book
Demetis, D. S., & Angell, I. (2024). The technological construction of reality. Edward Elgar Publishing. https://doi.org/10.4337/9781839101199

This visionary book delves into the world-shaping abilities of modern technology, outlining the potential future transformations that it may impose. By drawing from a range of scholarly insights, Dionysios S. Demetis and Ian O. Angell explore how tec... Read More about The technological construction of reality.

An options-pricing approach to forecasting the French presidential election (2024)
Journal Article
Fry, J., Hastings, T., & Binner, J. (in press). An options-pricing approach to forecasting the French presidential election. Journal of the Operational Research Society, https://doi.org/10.1080/01605682.2024.2334339

A subjective probability argument suggests vote-share estimates from polling companies can be interpreted as market prices. The corresponding election constitutes the price at a known future date. This makes an options-pricing approach particularly a... Read More about An options-pricing approach to forecasting the French presidential election.