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An options-pricing approach to forecasting the French presidential election (2024)
Journal Article
Fry, J., Hastings, T., & Binner, J. (in press). An options-pricing approach to forecasting the French presidential election. Journal of the Operational Research Society, https://doi.org/10.1080/01605682.2024.2334339

A subjective probability argument suggests vote-share estimates from polling companies can be interpreted as market prices. The corresponding election constitutes the price at a known future date. This makes an options-pricing approach particularly a... Read More about An options-pricing approach to forecasting the French presidential election.

Operational Research: Methods and Applications (2023)
Journal Article
Petropoulos, F., Laporte, G., Aktas, E., Alumur, S. A., Archetti, C., Ayhan, H., …Zhao, X. (2023). Operational Research: Methods and Applications. Journal of the Operational Research Society, 75(3), 423–617. https://doi.org/10.1080/01605682.2023.2253852

Throughout its history, Operational Research has evolved to include methods, models and algorithms that have been applied to a wide range of contexts. This encyclopedic article consists of two main sections: methods and applications. The first summar... Read More about Operational Research: Methods and Applications.

The Four Waves of Systems Thinking (2023)
Journal Article
Cabrera, D., Cabrera, L., & Midgley, G. (2023). The Four Waves of Systems Thinking. Journal of Systems Thinking, 3, 1-51. https://doi.org/10.54120/jost.000051

This Handbook is about the past, present, and future of systems thinking. It captures the history of systems thinking over its first three ‘waves,’ which are thought of as significant paradigmatic time periods in the history of the field. It then int... Read More about The Four Waves of Systems Thinking.

Designing interagency responses to wicked problems: A viable system model board game (2023)
Journal Article
Sydelko, P., Espinosa, A., & Midgley, G. (2024). Designing interagency responses to wicked problems: A viable system model board game. European journal of operational research, 312(2), 746-764. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejor.2023.06.040

Government agencies struggle to address wicked problems because they are open-ended, highly interdependent issues that cross agency, stakeholder, jurisdictional, and geopolitical boundaries. While both quantitative modelling and qualitative problem s... Read More about Designing interagency responses to wicked problems: A viable system model board game.

Multi-level participation in integrative, systemic planning: The case of climate adaptation in Ghana (2023)
Journal Article
Helfgott, A., Midgley, G., Chaudhury, A., Vervoort, J., Sova, C., & Ryan, A. (2023). Multi-level participation in integrative, systemic planning: The case of climate adaptation in Ghana. European journal of operational research, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejor.2023.01.045

Adaptation to climate change is impacted by a range of interrelated processes operating from local to global levels. There are often significant disconnects between different people's perceptions of responsibilities, capabilities and motivations, and... Read More about Multi-level participation in integrative, systemic planning: The case of climate adaptation in Ghana.

Alexander Bogdanov and the question of unity: An emerging research agenda (2023)
Journal Article
Şenalp, Ö., & Midgley, G. (2023). Alexander Bogdanov and the question of unity: An emerging research agenda. Systems research and behavioral science, 40(2), 328-348. https://doi.org/10.1002/sres.2923

In this paper, we propose a research agenda to support the recovery of Alexander Bogdanov's philosophical and systemic thinking that culminated in his magnum opus, Tektology. Our main reason for doing so is to re-address enduring questions about the... Read More about Alexander Bogdanov and the question of unity: An emerging research agenda.

Mindfulness and Behavioural Insights: Reflections on the Meditative Brain, Systems Theory and Organisational Change (2022)
Journal Article
Lilley, R., Whitehead, M., & Midgley, G. (2022). Mindfulness and Behavioural Insights: Reflections on the Meditative Brain, Systems Theory and Organisational Change. Journal of Awareness-Based Systems Change, 2(2), 29-57. https://doi.org/10.47061/jasc.v2i2.3857

This paper explores the impacts of the Mindfulness-Based Behavioural Insights and Decision-Making (MBBI) programme. Combining mindfulness with behavioural insights instruction, the authors have developed the MBBI programme through a series of iterati... Read More about Mindfulness and Behavioural Insights: Reflections on the Meditative Brain, Systems Theory and Organisational Change.

Interoperability: Our exciting and terrifying Web3 future (2022)
Journal Article
Park, A., Wilson, M., Robson, K., Demetis, D., & Kietzmann, J. (2022). Interoperability: Our exciting and terrifying Web3 future. Business Horizons, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.bushor.2022.10.005

This article introduces the next major generational evolution of the web: Web3. We review the fundamental evolution of the internet and the web over the past three decades, including a brief presentation of the publications in Business Horizons that... Read More about Interoperability: Our exciting and terrifying Web3 future.

Attention to Authority: The behavioural finance of Covid-19 (2022)
Journal Article
Burke, M., Fry, J., Kemp, S., & Woodhouse, D. (2022). Attention to Authority: The behavioural finance of Covid-19. Finance research letters, 49, Article 103081. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2022.103081

In this paper we investigate the predictability of cryptocurrency returns following increases in Covid-19 cases/deaths. We find that the rate of government intervention moderates the impact that Covid-19 cases/deaths have on cryptocurrency returns. W... Read More about Attention to Authority: The behavioural finance of Covid-19.

A systems perspective on systemic innovation (2021)
Journal Article
Midgley, G., & Lindhult, E. (2021). A systems perspective on systemic innovation. Systems research and behavioral science, 38(5), 635–670. https://doi.org/10.1002/sres.2819

The term ‘systemic innovation’ is increasing in use, but there is no consensus on its meaning: five understandings of the term can be identified, each based on a different view of what the word ‘systemic’ should refer to. The first understanding focu... Read More about A systems perspective on systemic innovation.

Re-thinking de-risking: a systems theoretical approach (2021)
Journal Article
Tambe, N., & Demetis, D. (in press). Re-thinking de-risking: a systems theoretical approach. Journal of Money Laundering Control, https://doi.org/10.1108/JMLC-04-2021-0030

Purpose: This paper aims to explain the de-risking phenomenon through Luhmann’s risk/danger model and demonstrate that de-risking should be facilitated and encouraged. Design/methodology/approach: The paper applies Luhmann’s system theory and more sp... Read More about Re-thinking de-risking: a systems theoretical approach.

Cultural ecosystem services and wellbeing policies for tourism – transnational and national challenges and opportunities (2021)
Journal Article
Dłużewska, A., Tuohino, A., & Correia, F. (2021). Cultural ecosystem services and wellbeing policies for tourism – transnational and national challenges and opportunities. Czasopismo Geograficzne, 91(1-2), 285-306

The aim of the paper is to present the results of a comparative study about cultural ecosystem services (CES ), wellbeing and tourism policies in UK , Finland and Poland in the years 2012–2018. We start with a review of the theoretical background and... Read More about Cultural ecosystem services and wellbeing policies for tourism – transnational and national challenges and opportunities.

Online child sexual exploitation: a new MIS challenge (2021)
Journal Article
Demetis, D. S., & Kietzmann, J. (2021). Online child sexual exploitation: a new MIS challenge. Journal of the Association for Information Systems, 22(1), 5-40. https://doi.org/10.17705/1jais.00652

© 2021, Association for Information Systems. All rights reserved. This paper deals with the difficult yet increasingly important MIS phenomenon of online child sexual exploitation (online CSE). Through the use of secondary and publicly available data... Read More about Online child sexual exploitation: a new MIS challenge.

Designing interagency responses to wicked problems: Creating a common, cross-agency understanding (2020)
Journal Article
Sydelko, P., Midgley, G., & Espinosa, A. (2021). Designing interagency responses to wicked problems: Creating a common, cross-agency understanding. European journal of operational research, 24(1), 250-263. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejor.2020.11.045

Wicked problems are open-ended, highly interdependent issues that cross agency, stakeholder, jurisdictional, and geopolitical boundaries. In response, there has been advocacy for interagency working. However, this confounds conventional approaches to... Read More about Designing interagency responses to wicked problems: Creating a common, cross-agency understanding.

Seventeen Pieces: Displacement, Misplacement and Conservation (2020)
Journal Article
Merali, Y., Mourad, K., & Ghanem, M. (2020). Seventeen Pieces: Displacement, Misplacement and Conservation. New England Journal of Public Policy, 32(2), Article 7

This article explores the systemic importance of art in the conservation of images, historical reference, and cultural meaning as displaced victims of humanitarian crises make the transition from the land of their birth to a new country with a differ... Read More about Seventeen Pieces: Displacement, Misplacement and Conservation.