What drives vertical fiscal interactions? Evidence from the 1980 Crude Oil Windfall Act

Perez-Sebastian, Fidel; Raveh, Ohad

Abstract

In economies with multi-level governments, why would a change in the fiscal rule of a government in one level lead to a fiscal response by a government in a different level? The literature focused primarily on the standard common-pool problem, while giving little attention to the potential role of complementarity or substitutability (CS) between the public goods supplied by the two governments. This paper fills this gap by focusing on the latter channel. First, we illustrate its potential key role in determining the sign of the vertical reaction through a generic model of vertical fiscal interactions. Second, we propose a novel strategy for identifying it, by considering an empirical design that confines the common-pool channel to specific locations. We implement this design through a quasi-natural experiment: the 1980 U.S. Crude Oil Windfall Act, which increased federal tax collections from sale of crude oil, thereby affecting the tax base of oil rich states specifically. This latter feature enables attributing the vertical fiscal reactions of the remaining states to the CS channel. Following this strategy, via a difference-in-differences approach, we decompose the sources of the vertical fiscal reactions arising from this federal tax change and find that those attributed to the CS channel: (i) account for approximately 38% of the overall vertical fiscal response; (ii) point at complementarity between state and federal public goods, most notably in transportation and welfare expenditures; (iii) are manifested primarily via changes in states' sales and income taxation.

Citation

Perez-Sebastian, F., & Raveh, O. (2018). What drives vertical fiscal interactions? Evidence from the 1980 Crude Oil Windfall Act. Regional Science and Urban Economics, 73, 251-268. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2018.10.004

• Journal Article Type: Article
• Acceptance Date: Oct 23, 2018
• Online Publication Date: Oct 29, 2018
• Publication Date: Nov 1, 2018
• Deposit Date: Nov 21, 2018
• Publicly Available Date: Oct 27, 2022
• Journal: Regional Science and Urban Economics
• Print ISSN: 0166-0462
• Electronic ISSN: 1879-2308
• Publisher: Elsevier
• Peer Reviewed: Peer Reviewed
• Volume: 73
• Pages: 251-268
• DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2018.10.004
• Keywords: Federalism; Vertical fiscal reactions; Common-pool problem; Complementarities; Natural resources
• Public URL: https://hull-repository.worktribe.com/output/1157014
• Publisher URL: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0166046218301169?via%3Dihub
• Additional Information: This article is maintained by: Elsevier; Article Title: What drives vertical fiscal interactions? Evidence from the 1980 Crude Oil Windfall Act; Journal Title: Regional Science and Urban Economics; CrossRef DOI link to publisher maintained version: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2018.10.004; Content Type: article; Copyright: © 2018 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.