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Federal tax policies, congressional voting, and natural resources

Perez-Sebastian, Fidel; Raveh, Ohad

Authors

Ohad Raveh



Abstract

Can abundance of natural resources affect legislators' voting behavior over federal tax policies? We construct a political economy model of a federalized economy with district heterogeneity in natural resource abundance. The model shows that representatives of natural resource rich districts are more (less) willing to vote in favor of federal tax increases (decreases). This occurs because resource rich districts are less responsive to federal tax changes due to the immobile nature of their natural resources. We test the model's predictions using data on roll-call votes in the U.S. House of Representatives over the major federal tax bills initiated during the period of 1945-2003, in conjunction with the presence of active giant oil fields in U.S. Congressional districts. Our identification strategy rests on plausibly exogenous giant oil field discoveries and exploitation, and narrative-based aggregate federal tax shocks that are exogenous to individual Congressional districts and legislators. We find that: i) resource rich Congressional districts are less responsive to changes in federal taxes; ii) representatives of resource rich Congressional districts are more (less) supportive of federal tax increases (decreases), controlling for legislator , Congressional district, and state indicators. Our results indicate that resource richness is approximately half as dominant as the main determinant, namely party afiliation, in driving legislators' voting behavior over federal tax policies.

Citation

Perez-Sebastian, F., & Raveh, O. (2019). Federal tax policies, congressional voting, and natural resources. Canadian Journal of Economics / Revue Canadienne d'Économique, 52(3), 1112-1164. https://doi.org/10.1111/caje.12404

Journal Article Type Article
Acceptance Date Nov 21, 2018
Online Publication Date Aug 27, 2019
Publication Date Aug 27, 2019
Deposit Date Nov 21, 2018
Publicly Available Date Aug 28, 2021
Print ISSN 0008-4085
Publisher Wiley
Peer Reviewed Peer Reviewed
Volume 52
Issue 3
Pages 1112-1164
DOI https://doi.org/10.1111/caje.12404
Keywords Federal tax changes; natural resources; voting behavior; federalism
Public URL https://hull-repository.worktribe.com/output/1157033
Publisher URL https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1111/caje.12404