The benefits of combining seasonal anomalies and technical trading rules

Gebka, Bartosz; Hudson, Robert S.; Atanasova, Christina V.

Abstract

Although many seasonal anomalies and technical trading rules have been shown to have predictive ability, investigations have focused only on them operating individually. We study the benefits of trading based on combinations of three of the best known effects: the moving average rule, the turn of the month effect, and the Halloween effect. We show that the rules can be combined effectively, giving significant levels of returns predictability with low risk and offering the possibility of profitable trading. This new investment approach is especially beneficial for a typical individual investor, who faces high transaction costs and is poorly diversified.

• Journal Article Type: Article
• Publication Date: 2015-08
• Journal: Finance research letters
• Print ISSN: 1544-6123
• Publisher: Elsevier
• Peer Reviewed: Peer Reviewed
• Volume: 14
• Pages: 36-44
• APA6 Citation: Gebka, B., Hudson, R. S., & Atanasova, C. V. (2015). The benefits of combining seasonal anomalies and technical trading rules. Finance research letters, 14, 36-44. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2015.06.001
• DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2015.06.001
• Keywords: Technical trading; Calendar anomalies; Stock market predictability; Market efficiency
• Publisher URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1544612315000628
• Copyright Statement: © 2015, Elsevier. Licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
• Additional Information: Author's accepted manuscript of article published in: Finance research letters, 2015, v.14