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A typology of marine and estuarine hazards and risks as vectors of change : a review for vulnerable coasts and their management

Elliott, Michael; Cutts, Nicholas D.; Trono, Anna

Authors

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Professor Mike Elliott Mike.Elliott@hull.ac.uk
Emeritus Professor of Estuarine and Coastal Sciences/ Research Professor, Institute of Estuarine and Coastal Studies

Nicholas D. Cutts

Anna Trono



Abstract

This paper illustrates a typology of 14 natural and anthropogenic hazards, the evidence for their causes and consequences for society and their role as vectors of change in estuaries, vulnerable coasts and marine areas. It uses hazard as the potential that there will be damage to the natural or human system and so is the product of an event which could occur and the probability of it occurring whereas the degree of risk then relates to the amount of assets, natural or societal, which may be affected. We give long- and short-term and large- and small-scale perspectives showing that the hazards leading to disasters for society will include flooding, erosion and tsunamis. Global examples include the effects of wetland loss and the exacerbation of problems by building on vulnerable coasts. Hence we emphasise the importance of considering hazard and risk on such coasts and consider the tools for assessing and managing the impacts of risk and hazard. These allow policy-makers to determine the consequences for natural and human systems. We separate locally-derived problems from large-scale effects (e.g. climate change, sea-level rise and isostatic rebound); we emphasise that the latter unmanaged exogenic pressures require a response to the consequences rather than the causes whereas within a management area there are endogenic managed pressures in which we address both to causes and consequences. The problems are put into context by assessing hazards and the conflicts between different uses and users and hence the management responses needed. We emphasise that integrated and sustainable management of the hazards and risk requires 10-tenets to be fulfilled.

Citation

Elliott, M., Cutts, N. D., & Trono, A. (2014). A typology of marine and estuarine hazards and risks as vectors of change : a review for vulnerable coasts and their management. Ocean and Coastal Management, 93, 88-99. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2014.03.014

Journal Article Type Review
Online Publication Date Apr 3, 2014
Publication Date 2014-06
Deposit Date May 5, 2016
Publicly Available Date May 5, 2016
Journal Ocean & coastal management
Print ISSN 0964-5691
Electronic ISSN 1873-524X
Publisher Elsevier
Peer Reviewed Peer Reviewed
Volume 93
Pages 88-99
DOI https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2014.03.014
Keywords Anthropogenic hazards
Public URL https://hull-repository.worktribe.com/output/437660
Publisher URL http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S096456911400074X
Additional Information This is an authors accepted manuscript of an article published in Ocean & coastal management (2014) v.93.

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