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Exploring individual differences in scenario planning workshops: A cognitive style framework

Franco, L. Alberto; Armstrong, Steven J.; Franco, L. Alberto‏; Meadows, Maureen; Armstrong, Steven J

Authors

L. Alberto Franco

Steven J. Armstrong

L. Alberto‏ Franco

Maureen Meadows

Steven J Armstrong



Abstract

In recent years, scenario planning has enjoyed wide acceptance among practitioners and academics as a decision support aid in the strategy formulation process. Although different approaches to scenario planning are possible, most of them are usually deployed in a group workshop format and led by a facilitator. This work setting for scenario planning activity has led managerial cognition scholars to argue that the cognitive diversity of the workshop participants is likely to be a critical determinant of the effectiveness of scenario planning interventions. The purpose of this paper is thus to explore this proposition further, by articulating a theoretical framework to inform the investigation of the role of cognitive style in scenario planning interventions. Specifically, the framework highlights the potential impact of individual differences in ways of perceiving and judging on participants' observed behaviours within the scenario planning workshops. The paper ends with a discussion of the implications of our framework for research and practice of scenario planning workshops.

Citation

Franco, L. A., Meadows, M., & Armstrong, S. J. (2013). Exploring individual differences in scenario planning workshops: A cognitive style framework. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 80(4), 723-734. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2012.02.008

Journal Article Type Article
Acceptance Date Feb 29, 2012
Publication Date May 1, 2013
Deposit Date Nov 13, 2014
Publicly Available Date Nov 13, 2014
Journal Technological forecasting and social change
Print ISSN 0040-1625
Publisher Elsevier
Peer Reviewed Peer Reviewed
Volume 80
Issue 4
Pages 723-734
DOI https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2012.02.008
Keywords Scenario planning; Cognitive style; Group decision making; Workshops
Public URL https://hull-repository.worktribe.com/output/465775
Publisher URL http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0040162512000558
Copyright Statement © 2012, Elsevier. Licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
Additional Information Authors' accepted manuscript of article: Franco, L.A., Meadows, M. & Armstrong, S.J. (2013). Exploring individual differences in scenario planning workshop: A cognitive style framework, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 80(4): 723-734.

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