All Outputs (4)

The impact of term spread volatility on economic activity (2025)
Journal Article
Megaritis, A., Bakas, D., Bermpei, T., & Triantafyllou, A. (2025). The impact of term spread volatility on economic activity. Economics letters, 247, Article 112190. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2025.112190

We examine the impact of the volatility of the US Treasury yield curve slope (term spread volatility) on US economic activity within a VAR framework. Our findings show that a positive shock to term spread volatility leads to a persistent decline in U... Read More about The impact of term spread volatility on economic activity.

The term structure of interest rates as predictor of stock market volatility (2024)
Journal Article
Megaritis, A., Kontonikas, A., Vlastakis, N., & Triantafyllou, A. (online). The term structure of interest rates as predictor of stock market volatility. International journal of finance & economics : IJFE, https://doi.org/10.1002/ijfe.3029

We examine the forecasting power of the volatility of the slope of the US Treasury yield curve on US stock market volatility. Consistent with theoretical asset pricing models, we find that the volatility of the slope of the term structure of interest... Read More about The term structure of interest rates as predictor of stock market volatility.

Can market information outperform hard and soft information in predicting corporate defaults? (2023)
Journal Article
Filomeni, S., Bose, U., Megaritis, A., & Triantafyllou, A. (2024). Can market information outperform hard and soft information in predicting corporate defaults?. International journal of finance & economics : IJFE, 29(3), 3567-3592. https://doi.org/10.1002/ijfe.2840

Recent evidence has shown that hybrid models for credit ratings are important when assessing the risk of firms. Within this stream of literature, we aim to provide novel evidence on how hard (quantitative), soft (qualitative), and market information... Read More about Can market information outperform hard and soft information in predicting corporate defaults?.

Stock market volatility and jumps in times of uncertainty (2021)
Journal Article
Megaritis, A., Vlastakis, N., & Triantafyllou, A. (2021). Stock market volatility and jumps in times of uncertainty. Journal of International Money and Finance, 113, Article 102355. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jimonfin.2021.102355

In this paper we examine the predictive power of latent macroeconomic uncertainty on US stock market volatility and jump tail risk. We find that increasing macroeconomic uncertainty predicts a subsequent rise in volatility and price jumps in the US e... Read More about Stock market volatility and jumps in times of uncertainty.