Skip to main content

Research Repository

Advanced Search

Outputs (16)

Essays on Income Inequality, Financial Inclusion, and Economic Growth: Evidence from Nigeria (2024)
Thesis
Ossai, L. (2024). Essays on Income Inequality, Financial Inclusion, and Economic Growth: Evidence from Nigeria. (Thesis). University of Hull. https://hull-repository.worktribe.com/output/4920478

Studies on the relationship between income inequality and economic growth, especially in low-income nations like Nigeria, have garnered significant interest. Some scholars argue that income inequality stimulate economic growth, while others contend i... Read More about Essays on Income Inequality, Financial Inclusion, and Economic Growth: Evidence from Nigeria.

Tourism and Troubles: Effects of Security Threats on the Global Travel and Tourism Industry Performance (2022)
Journal Article
Akamavi, R. K., Ibrahim, F., & Swaray, R. (2022). Tourism and Troubles: Effects of Security Threats on the Global Travel and Tourism Industry Performance. Journal of Travel Research, https://doi.org/10.1177/00472875221138792

The literature on the effects of security threats such as terrorism, political instability, and geopolitical power-plays on travel and tourism has produced mixed results with scant attention paid to the spillover effects on the tourism economy (e.g.,... Read More about Tourism and Troubles: Effects of Security Threats on the Global Travel and Tourism Industry Performance.

Improving forecasting accuracy of the Phillips curve in OECD countries: The role of commodity prices (2020)
Journal Article
Salisu, A. A., Salisu, A. A., Swaray, R., & Sa'id, H. (in press). Improving forecasting accuracy of the Phillips curve in OECD countries: The role of commodity prices. International journal of finance & economics : IJFE, https://doi.org/10.1002/ijfe.1944

We investigate the power of commodity prices to improve inflation forecast performance in 21 OECD countries, within the framework of commodity prices-augmented Phillips curve model. Using monthly data spanning over 57 years, we use single and multi-f... Read More about Improving forecasting accuracy of the Phillips curve in OECD countries: The role of commodity prices.

Forecasting the return volatility of energy prices: a GARCH-MIDAS approach (2020)
Book Chapter
Salisu, A. A., & Swaray, R. (2020). Forecasting the return volatility of energy prices: a GARCH-MIDAS approach. In S. Goutte, & D. K. Nguyen (Eds.), Handbook of energy finance: Theories, practices and simulations (47-71). World Scientific Publishing. https://doi.org/10.1142/11213

This chapter offers an extension to the literature on energy prices by forecasting the return volatility of these prices using the GARCH-MIDAS approach. In addition to the realized volatility, it also evaluates the predictability of relevant macroeco... Read More about Forecasting the return volatility of energy prices: a GARCH-MIDAS approach.

A fractional cointegration VAR analysis of Islamic stocks: A global perspective (2019)
Journal Article
Salisu, A. A., Ndako, U. B., Adediran, I. A., & Swaray, R. (2020). A fractional cointegration VAR analysis of Islamic stocks: A global perspective. North American journal of economics and finance, 51, Article 101056. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.najef.2019.101056

In this study, we analyse the behaviour of Islamic stocks from a global perspective covering an array of regional Islamic stock markets. Both the fractional integration and fractional cointegration techniques are employed. Thus, we are able to establ... Read More about A fractional cointegration VAR analysis of Islamic stocks: A global perspective.

Can urban coffee consumption help predict US inflation? (2019)
Journal Article
Salisu, A. A., Swaray, R., & Adediran, I. A. (2019). Can urban coffee consumption help predict US inflation?. Journal of forecasting, 38(7), 649-668. https://doi.org/10.1002/for.2589

Motivated by the importance of coffee to Americans and the significance of the coffee subsector to the US economy, we pursue three notable innovations. First, we augment the traditional Phillips curve model with the coffee price as a predictor, and s... Read More about Can urban coffee consumption help predict US inflation?.

Improving the predictability of the oil–US stock nexus: The role of macroeconomic variables (2019)
Journal Article
Salisu, A. A., Swaray, R., & Oloko, T. F. (2019). Improving the predictability of the oil–US stock nexus: The role of macroeconomic variables. Economic modelling, 76, 153-171. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2018.07.029

In this study, we revisit the oil–stock nexus by accounting for the role of macroeconomic variables and testing their in-sample and out-of-sample predictive powers. We follow the approaches of Lewellen (2004) and Westerlund and Narayan (2015), which... Read More about Improving the predictability of the oil–US stock nexus: The role of macroeconomic variables.

A firm-level analysis of the upstream-downstream dichotomy in the oil-stock nexus (2018)
Journal Article
Swaray, R., & Salisu, A. A. (2018). A firm-level analysis of the upstream-downstream dichotomy in the oil-stock nexus. Global finance journal, 37, 199-218. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gfj.2018.05.007

In this paper, we query whether the stock prices of nonintegrated firms in the upstream and downstream sectors of the global oil supply chain respond symmetrically to changes in oil prices. This inquiry relates to the “homogenous expectation” assumpt... Read More about A firm-level analysis of the upstream-downstream dichotomy in the oil-stock nexus.

U.S. stocks in the presence of oil price risk: Large cap vs. small cap (2017)
Journal Article
Swaray, R., Salisu, A. A., & Oloko, T. (2017). U.S. stocks in the presence of oil price risk: Large cap vs. small cap. Economics and business letters, 6(4), 116-124. https://doi.org/10.17811/ebl.6.4.2017.116-124

This study queries the act of making generalization about the dynamics of returns and volatility spillovers between oil price and U.S. stocks by merely considering only large cap stocks. It argues that this kind of generalization may be misleading, a... Read More about U.S. stocks in the presence of oil price risk: Large cap vs. small cap.