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Scenario analysis and disaster preparedness for port and maritime logistics risk management

Kwesi-Buor, John; Menachof, David A.; Talas, Risto


John Kwesi-Buor

David A. Menachof

Risto Talas


System Dynamics (SD) modelling is used to investigate the impacts of policy interventions on industry actors’ preparedness to mitigate risks and to recover from disruptions along the maritime logistics and supply chain network. The model suggests a bi-directional relation between regulation and industry actors’ behaviour towards Disaster Preparedness (DP) in maritime logistics networks. The model also showed that the level of DP is highly contingent on forecast accuracy, technology change, attitude to risk prevention, port activities, and port environment.


Kwesi-Buor, J., Menachof, D. A., & Talas, R. (2019). Scenario analysis and disaster preparedness for port and maritime logistics risk management. Accident analysis and prevention, 123, 433-447.

Journal Article Type Article
Acceptance Date Jul 10, 2016
Online Publication Date Aug 1, 2016
Publication Date 2019-02
Deposit Date Aug 15, 2016
Publicly Available Date Aug 15, 2016
Journal Accident analysis and prevention
Print ISSN 0001-4575
Publisher Elsevier
Peer Reviewed Peer Reviewed
Volume 123
Pages 433-447
Keywords Disaster preparedness; Environment instability; Resilient; Logistics; System dynamics; Maritime logistics; Port management; Risk management
Public URL
Publisher URL
Additional Information Authors' accepted manuscript of article published in: Accident analysis and prevention, 2016.


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