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Investigation of institutional changes in the UK housing market using structural break tests and time-varying parameter models (2016)
Journal Article
Zhang, H., Hudson, R., Metcalf, H., & Manahov, V. (2017). Investigation of institutional changes in the UK housing market using structural break tests and time-varying parameter models. Empirical economics, 53(2), 617-640. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00181-016-1127-z

© 2016, Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg. This paper investigates the effects of institutional changes within the UK housing market in recent decades using structural break tests and time-varying parameter models. This approach is motivated by model... Read More about Investigation of institutional changes in the UK housing market using structural break tests and time-varying parameter models.

The price, quality and distribution of mortgage payment protection insurance: a hedonic pricing approach (2016)
Journal Article
Ashton, J. K., & Hudson, R. S. (2017). The price, quality and distribution of mortgage payment protection insurance: a hedonic pricing approach. The British accounting review, 49(2), 242-255. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.bar.2016.07.003

Mortgage payment protection insurance (hereafter MPPI) provides varying combinations of accident, sickness and unemployment insurance and is used to protect the mortgage payments of policyholders in the event of a fall in income. Despite alleviating... Read More about The price, quality and distribution of mortgage payment protection insurance: a hedonic pricing approach.

The effect of size on the failure probabilities of SMEs : an empirical study on the US market using discrete hazard model (2015)
Journal Article
El Kalak, I., & Hudson, R. (2016). The effect of size on the failure probabilities of SMEs : an empirical study on the US market using discrete hazard model. International review of financial analysis, 43(January), 135-145. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2015.11.009

This paper investigates the extent to which the size affects the SME probabilities of bankruptcy. Using a dataset of (11,117) US non-financial firms, of which (465) filed for insolvency under chapters 7/11 between 1980 and 2013. We forecast the bankr... Read More about The effect of size on the failure probabilities of SMEs : an empirical study on the US market using discrete hazard model.

Three essays on SMEs credit risk and capital structure (2015)
Thesis
El Kalak, I. (2015). Three essays on SMEs credit risk and capital structure. (Thesis). University of Hull. Retrieved from https://hull-repository.worktribe.com/output/4224013

The main purpose of this study is to provide further insight into the SMEs’ credit risk and capital structure. Thus, this thesis presents three essays on SMEs probability of bankruptcy and capital structure in chapter 3 to chapter 5. The first empiri... Read More about Three essays on SMEs credit risk and capital structure.

Do house prices overreact to relevant information? New evidence from the UK housing market (2015)
Journal Article
Hudson, R., Manahov, V., Metcalf, H., & Zhang, H. (in press). Do house prices overreact to relevant information? New evidence from the UK housing market. Investment management & financial innovations, 12(3), 33-46

We use recent panel data and various empirical models to investigate the validity of the irrational expectations hypothesis and the feedback theory in the UK housing market. We provide the first empirical evidence to justify the statistically signifi... Read More about Do house prices overreact to relevant information? New evidence from the UK housing market.

Investor sentiment and local bias in extreme circumstances: the case of the Blitz (2015)
Journal Article
Urquhart, A., & Hudson, R. (2016). Investor sentiment and local bias in extreme circumstances: the case of the Blitz. Research in international business and finance, 36(January), 340-350. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ribaf.2015.09.010

© 2015 Elsevier B.V. This paper treats the Blitz, the bombing of Britain during World War Two, as a natural experiment which can provide insights into the effects of investor sentiment on stock returns. The period of the Blitz is very interesting in... Read More about Investor sentiment and local bias in extreme circumstances: the case of the Blitz.

Which heuristics can aid financial-decision-making? (2015)
Journal Article
Forbes, W., Hudson, R., Skerratt, L., & Soufian, M. (2015). Which heuristics can aid financial-decision-making?. International review of financial analysis, 42(December), 199-210. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2015.07.002

© 2015 Elsevier Inc. We evaluate the contribution of Nobel Prize-winner Daniel Kahneman, often in association with his late co-author Amos Tversky, to the development of our understanding of financial decision-making and the evolution of behavioural... Read More about Which heuristics can aid financial-decision-making?.

Identification of house price bubbles using user cost in a state space model (2015)
Journal Article
Zhang, H., Hudson, R., Metcalf, H., & Manahov, V. (2015). Identification of house price bubbles using user cost in a state space model. Applied economics, 47(56), 6088-6101. https://doi.org/10.1080/00036846.2015.1064078

© 2015 Taylor & Francis. This article studies how much variation in house prices results from nonfundamental factors. We propose a relative valuation approach to quantifying a bubble in housing by incorporating the housing User Cost into a state sp... Read More about Identification of house price bubbles using user cost in a state space model.

The benefits of combining seasonal anomalies and technical trading rules (2015)
Journal Article
Gebka, B., Hudson, R. S., & Atanasova, C. V. (2015). The benefits of combining seasonal anomalies and technical trading rules. Finance research letters, 14, 36-44. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2015.06.001

Although many seasonal anomalies and technical trading rules have been shown to have predictive ability, investigations have focused only on them operating individually. We study the benefits of trading based on combinations of three of the best know... Read More about The benefits of combining seasonal anomalies and technical trading rules.

How exactly do markets adapt? Evidence from the moving average rule in three developed markets (2015)
Journal Article
Urquhart, A., Gebka, B., & Hudson, R. (2015). How exactly do markets adapt? Evidence from the moving average rule in three developed markets. Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 38, 127-147. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.intfin.2015.05.019

The seminal study by Brock, Lakonishok and LeBaron (1992) (BLL hereafter) found that the moving average rule had strong predictive power over 90 years in the DJIA, and this result was confirmed by Hudson et al. (1996) for the FT30 in the UK and Chen... Read More about How exactly do markets adapt? Evidence from the moving average rule in three developed markets.

War and stock markets: The effect of World War Two on the British stock market (2015)
Journal Article
Hudson, R., & Urquhart, A. (2015). War and stock markets: The effect of World War Two on the British stock market. International review of financial analysis, 40(July), 166-177. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2015.05.015

© 2015 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved. This paper studies the effect of World War Two (WWII) on the British stock market. It contributes to the literature in several ways. First, this paper thoroughly investigates the impact of historically major... Read More about War and stock markets: The effect of World War Two on the British stock market.

The influence of product age on pricing decisions: An examination of bank deposit interest rate setting (2014)
Journal Article
Anderson, R. D., Ashton, J. K., & Hudson, R. S. (2014). The influence of product age on pricing decisions: An examination of bank deposit interest rate setting. Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 31, 216-230. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.intfin.2014.03.010

Do banks extract rent from depositors who hold older deposit accounts? This study addresses this question using product level data from the UK instant access (branch based) deposit market. In this context, two research questions related to the condit... Read More about The influence of product age on pricing decisions: An examination of bank deposit interest rate setting.

Does high frequency trading affect technical analysis and market efficiency? And if so, how? (2013)
Journal Article
Manahov, V., Hudson, R., & Gebka, B. (2014). Does high frequency trading affect technical analysis and market efficiency? And if so, how?. Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 28, 131-157. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.intfin.2013.11.002

In this paper we investigate how high frequency trading affects technical analysis and market efficiency in the foreign exchange (FX) market by using a special adaptive form of the Strongly Typed Genetic Programming (STGP)-based learning algorithm. W... Read More about Does high frequency trading affect technical analysis and market efficiency? And if so, how?.

The implications of trader cognitive abilities on stock market properties (2013)
Journal Article
Manahov, V., Soufian, M., & Hudson, R. (2014). The implications of trader cognitive abilities on stock market properties. Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management, 21(1), 1-18. https://doi.org/10.1002/isaf.1348

Market structure and individual rationality remain at the centre of a debate as to which is the main driving force in market performance. We examine the role of individual rationality, comparing zero‐intelligence traders with traders with different l... Read More about The implications of trader cognitive abilities on stock market properties.

Adapting financial rationality: Is a new paradigm emerging? (2013)
Journal Article
Soufian, M., Forbes, W., & Hudson, R. (2014). Adapting financial rationality: Is a new paradigm emerging?. Critical Perspectives On Accounting, 25(8), 724-742. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cpa.2013.08.009

We discuss the implications of an alternative to the efficient market hypothesis (EMH) the adaptive market hypothesis (AMH). The AMH advances a theoretical basis for a new financial paradigm which can better model such phenomena as the recent financi... Read More about Adapting financial rationality: Is a new paradigm emerging?.

Informed trading and market structure (2013)
Journal Article
Cai, C. X., Harris, J. H., Hudson, R. S., & Keasey, K. (2015). Informed trading and market structure. European Financial Management, 21(1), 148-177. https://doi.org/10.1111/eufm.12003

We examine London Stock Exchange trading around information releases and link market quality dimensions with market structure during periods with heightened interaction between informed and uninformed traders. We find support for both the hypothesis... Read More about Informed trading and market structure.

How prior realized outcomes affect portfolio decisions (2012)
Journal Article
Duxbury, D., Hudson, R., Keasey, K., Yang, Z., & Yao, S. (2013). How prior realized outcomes affect portfolio decisions. Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, 41(4), 611-629. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11156-012-0325-9

Investors have been shown to have particular preferences when it comes to the characteristics of stock they hold in their portfolios, while prior gains and losses have been shown to impact on individuals' economic decisions, both in an investment con... Read More about How prior realized outcomes affect portfolio decisions.

Electroluminescent segmented liquid crystalline trimers (2008)
Journal Article
Aldred, M. P., Hudson, R., Kitney, S. P., Vlachos, P., Liedtke, A., Woon, K. L., O'Neill, M., & Kelly, S. M. (2008). Electroluminescent segmented liquid crystalline trimers. Liquid crystals, 35(4), 413-427. https://doi.org/10.1080/02678290801924931

The synthesis and liquid crystal behaviour of light-emitting trimeric liquid crystals consisting of three mesomorphic moieties connected by aliphatic spacers are reported. The combination of an aromatic light-emitting central core and two cholestanyl... Read More about Electroluminescent segmented liquid crystalline trimers.

Trading frictions and market structure: An empirical analysis (2008)
Journal Article
Cai, C. X., Hillier, D., Hudson, R., & Keasey, K. (2008). Trading frictions and market structure: An empirical analysis. Journal of Business Finance and Accounting, 35(3-4), 563-579. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-5957.2008.02076.x

Market structure affects the informational and real frictions faced by traders in equity markets. Using bid-ask spreads, we present evidence which suggests that while real frictions associated with the costs of supplying immediacy are less in order-d... Read More about Trading frictions and market structure: An empirical analysis.

Interest rate clustering in UK financial services markets (2007)
Journal Article
Ashton, J. K., & Hudson, R. S. (2008). Interest rate clustering in UK financial services markets. Journal of Banking and Finance, 32(7), 1393-1403. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2007.11.002

This study forwards an explanation and empirical investigation of price clustering in retail banking markets. It is proposed that price or interest rate clustering forms in retail markets as firms wish to maximise returns from customers, some of whom... Read More about Interest rate clustering in UK financial services markets.