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Climate Change Impact on the Frequency of Hydrometeorological Extremes in the Island of Crete

Tapoglou, Evdokia; Vozinaki, Anthi; Tsanis, Ioannis

Authors

Anthi Vozinaki

Ioannis Tsanis

Abstract

Frequency analysis on extreme hydrological and meteorological events under the effect of climate change is performed in the island of Crete. Data from Regional Climate Model simulations (RCMs) that follow three Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP2.6, RCP4.5, RCP8.5) are used in the analysis. The analysis was performed for the 1985–2100 time period, divided into three equal-duration time slices (1985–2010, 2025–2050, and 2075–2100). Comparison between the results from the three time slices for the different RCMs under different RCP scenarios indicate that drought events are expected to increase in the future. The meteorological and hydrological drought indices, relative Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) and Standardized Runoff index (SRI), are used to identify the number of drought events for each RCM. Results from extreme precipitation, extreme flow, meteorological and hydrological drought frequency analysis over Crete show that the impact of climate change on the magnitude of 100 years return period extreme events will also increase, along with the magnitude of extreme precipitation and flow events.

Journal Article Type Article
Publication Date Mar 21, 2019
Journal Water
Print ISSN 2073-4441
Electronic ISSN 2073-4441
Publisher MDPI
Peer Reviewed Peer Reviewed
Volume 11
Issue 3
Article Number 587
Institution Citation Tapoglou, E., Vozinaki, A., & Tsanis, I. (2019). Climate Change Impact on the Frequency of Hydrometeorological Extremes in the Island of Crete. Water, 11(3), https://doi.org/10.3390/w11030587
DOI https://doi.org/10.3390/w11030587
Keywords Climate change; Frequency analysis; Drought indicators; Extreme events
Publisher URL https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/11/3/587

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Copyright Statement
© 2019 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).




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