The General Elections: 2015, 2017, 2019

Fear, Christopher

Abstract

This chapter explains the backgrounds, the strategies, and the performance of the Conservatives’ three general election campaigns in 2015, 2017, and 2019. Special attention is given to voting patterns and statistics, which (I argue) reveal more about what really happened in these elections than does the popular political history of those years. I have also sought to countermand three popular ‘myths’ about these elections: first, that the Conservatives’ surprise majority in 2015 owed to David Cameron’s ‘disingenuous’ offer of an in/out referendum on membership of the EU; second, that the 2017 election showed that voters did not support Theresa May’s vision of a ‘hard Brexit’; and third, that the 2019 result reflected the greater popularity of Johnson compared to May, and the superiority of his campaign, especially in Labour’s former ‘Red Wall’ in the Midlands and North of England and Wales.

Citation

Fear, C. (2023). The General Elections: 2015, 2017, 2019. In Conservative Governments in the Age of Brexit (47-64). Palgrave Macmillan (part of Springer Nature). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-21464-6_4

• Online Publication Date: Mar 14, 2023
• Publication Date: Mar 15, 2023
• Deposit Date: May 24, 2022
• Publicly Available Date: Mar 15, 2025
• Publisher: Palgrave Macmillan (part of Springer Nature)
• Pages: 47-64
• Book Title: Conservative Governments in the Age of Brexit
• ISBN: 9783031214639 ; 9783031214660
• DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-21464-6_4
• Keywords: Conservatives; General elections; Electoral strategy; Psephology; Red Wall; Realignment
• Public URL: https://hull-repository.worktribe.com/output/4003063
• Contract Date: May 2, 2022