Bayesian Value-at-Risk backtesting: The case of annuity pricing
(2021)
Journal Article
Leung, M., Li, Y., Pantelous, A. A., & Vigne, S. A. (in press). Bayesian Value-at-Risk backtesting: The case of annuity pricing. European journal of operational research, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejor.2020.12.051
We propose new Unconditional, Independence and Conditional Coverage VaR-forecast backtests for the case of annuity pricing under a Bayesian framework that significantly minimise the direct and indirect effects of p-hacking or other biased outcomes in... Read More about Bayesian Value-at-Risk backtesting: The case of annuity pricing.